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Europe · 2026/27 season

Malta football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Malta — 1 competition, 12 clubs, 40 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Malta
Teams 12 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 35 of 66 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 31 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Malta

1 fixture on 9 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Malta with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Mosta vs BirzebbugaMalta Premier LeagueC Malta Premier League MostaOur prob 70% — 70% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Malta — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Malta’s covered competitions: 35 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 37% 13 of 35 matches -6 pts vs 2025/26 (199)
Away wins 40% 14 of 35 matches +12 pts vs 2025/26 (199)
Over 2.5 goals 51% 18 of 35 matches +7 pts vs 2025/26 (199)
Both teams scored 49% 17 of 35 matches -3 pts vs 2025/26 (199)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (199 played matches).

Competitions in Malta

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Malta by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#1
Net rating
+0.39
Attack
1.51
Defence
1.12
Form NextBirzebbuga (H) · 9 Oct
Net rating
+0.29
Attack
1.38
Defence
1.09
Form NextFloriana (H) · 11 Oct
Net rating
+0.29
Attack
1.78
Defence
1.49
Form NextBalzan FC (A) · 11 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Malta

What happened next to what we predicted

Malta Premier League
  • Sliema Wanderers vs Balzan FC0–0
  • Floriana vs Hibernians0–4
  • Birzebbuga vs Valletta FC0–3
  • Marsaxlokk vs Hamrun Spartans4–1
  • Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick0–2
  • Zabbar St. Patrick vs Gzira United0–0