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Europe · 2026/27 season

Montenegro football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Montenegro — 1 competition, 10 clubs, 39 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Montenegro
Teams 10 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 45 of 95 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 50 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Montenegro

4 fixtures on 8 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Montenegro with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Arsenal Tivat vs DečićMontenegro First LeagueC Montenegro First League DečićOur prob 36% — 36% — C —
Otrant-Olympic vs Mladost DGMontenegro First LeagueC Montenegro First League Otrant-OlympicOur prob 70% — 70% — C —
Mornar vs JezeroMontenegro First LeagueC Montenegro First League MornarOur prob 56% — 56% — C —
Bokelj vs PetrovacMontenegro First LeagueC Montenegro First League BokeljOur prob 59% — 59% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Montenegro — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Montenegro’s covered competitions: 45 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 42% 19 of 45 matches -2 pts vs 2025/26 (184)
Away wins 27% 12 of 45 matches -4 pts vs 2025/26 (184)
Over 2.5 goals 36% 16 of 45 matches -7 pts vs 2025/26 (184)
Both teams scored 36% 16 of 45 matches -11 pts vs 2025/26 (184)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (184 played matches).

Competitions in Montenegro

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Montenegro by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#3
Net rating
+0.41
Attack
1.10
Defence
0.69
Form NextPetrovac (H) · 8 Oct
#5
Net rating
+0.07
Attack
1.00
Defence
0.93
Form NextJezero (H) · 8 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Montenegro

What happened next to what we predicted

Montenegro First League
  • Bokelj vs Mladost DG3–0
  • Dečić vs Mornar1–1
  • Otrant-Olympic vs Jezero4–1
  • Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska0–2
  • Buducnost Podgorica vs Petrovac4–1
  • Jezero vs Bokelj1–1