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Europe · 2026/27 season

Slovenia football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Slovenia — 1 competition, 10 clubs, 33 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Slovenia
Teams 10 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 49 of 180 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Slovenia

3 fixtures on 10 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Slovenia with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Radomlje vs Koper1. SNLC 1. SNL KoperOur prob 51%Best odds 1.78 -7% 46% 53% C 1.78
Celje vs Aluminij1. SNLC 1. SNL CeljeOur prob 53%Best odds 1.52 -36% 27% 62% C 1.52
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura1. SNLC 1. SNL Olimpija LjubljanaOur prob 56%Best odds 1.77 +8% 62% 54% C 1.77

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Slovenia — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Slovenia’s covered competitions: 49 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 35% 17 of 49 matches -15 pts vs 2025/26 (163)
Away wins 37% 18 of 49 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (163)
Over 2.5 goals 49% 24 of 49 matches -15 pts vs 2025/26 (163)
Both teams scored 53% 26 of 49 matches -5 pts vs 2025/26 (163)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (163 played matches).

Competitions in Slovenia

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Slovenia by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+0.32
Attack
1.58
Defence
1.26
Form NextCelje (A) · 10 Oct
#4
Net rating
+0.21
Attack
1.40
Defence
1.19
Form NextNafta (A) · 11 Oct
#5
Net rating
+0.10
Attack
1.12
Defence
1.02
Form NextRadomlje (A) · 10 Oct
#6
Net rating
+0.02
Attack
1.50
Defence
1.48
Form NextBravo (H) · 11 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Slovenia

What happened next to what we predicted

1. SNL
  • Brinje-Grosuplje vs Radomlje2–1
  • Mura vs Celje0–0
  • Bravo vs Olimpija Ljubljana2–1
  • Maribor vs Aluminij2–2
  • Koper vs Nafta2–0
  • Radomlje vs Maribor0–3