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Europe · 2026/27 season

Sweden football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Sweden — 3 competitions, 96 clubs, 134 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 3 covered in Sweden
Teams 96 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 440 of 544 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Sweden

1 fixture on 9 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures in Sweden with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskanC Allsvenskan IFK GoteborgOur prob 54%Best odds 1.70 -8% 48% 56% C 1.70

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Sweden — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Sweden’s covered competitions: 440 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 37% 163 of 440 matches -4 pts vs 2025/26 (605)
Away wins 40% 178 of 440 matches +3 pts vs 2025/26 (605)
Over 2.5 goals 57% 250 of 440 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (605)
Both teams scored 56% 245 of 440 matches +3 pts vs 2025/26 (605)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (605 played matches).

Competitions in Sweden

3 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.

Top teams in Sweden by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Svenska Cupen
#4
Net rating
+0.74
Attack
2.04
Defence
1.29
Form

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Sweden

What happened next to what we predicted

Svenska Cupen
Allsvenskan
  • Degerfors IF vs Hammarby FF0–1
  • Mjallby AIF vs Gais0–3
  • Djurgardens IF vs IF Elfsborg1–2
  • Kalmar FF vs BK Hacken0–5
Superettan
  • Helsingborg vs Norrby IF0–0