Today’s matches in Sweden
2 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIK Stockholm vs IF ElfsborgAllsvenskanC | Allsvenskan | IF ElfsborgOur prob 45%Best odds 2.26 | +2% | 45% | 42% | C | 2.26 |
| Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FCSuperettanC | Superettan | Landskrona BoISOur prob 47%Best odds 2.02 | 0% | 47% | 47% | C | 2.02 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Sweden — country trends
How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Sweden’s covered competitions: 487 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (605 played matches).
Competitions in Sweden
3 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.
-
Sweden · league- Teams
- 16
- Played
- 200 of 240
- Upcoming
- 57
- Home wins
- 40%
- Over 2.5
- 54%
- BTTS
- 52%
-
Sweden · league- Teams
- 16
- Played
- 223 of 240
- Upcoming
- 57
- Home wins
- 40%
- Over 2.5
- 55%
- BTTS
- 60%
-
Sweden · cup- Teams
- 96
- Played
- 64 of 64
- Upcoming
- 57
- Home wins
- 19%
- Over 2.5
- 67%
- BTTS
- 47%
Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.
Top teams in Sweden by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.43
- Attack
- 2.29
- Defence
- 0.86
- Net rating
- +1.14
- Attack
- 2.01
- Defence
- 0.87
- Net rating
- +1.07
- Attack
- 1.90
- Defence
- 0.83
- Net rating
- +0.74
- Attack
- 2.04
- Defence
- 1.29
- Net rating
- +0.72
- Attack
- 1.65
- Defence
- 0.93
- Net rating
- +0.71
- Attack
- 1.54
- Defence
- 0.83
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent results in Sweden
What happened next to what we predicted