Flag of Uruguay

South America · 2026/27 season

Uruguay football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Uruguay — 1 competition, 16 clubs, 63 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Uruguay
Teams 16 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 249 of 257 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 8 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Uruguay

2 fixtures on 9 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Uruguay with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Atletico Torque vs DanubioUruguay Primera DivisiónC Uruguay Primera División Atletico TorqueOur prob 50%Best odds 1.95 +8% 56% 48% C 1.95
Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool MontevideoUruguay Primera DivisiónC Uruguay Primera División Deportivo MaldonadoOur prob 40%Best odds 2.48 +7% 45% 38% C 2.48

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Uruguay — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Uruguay’s covered competitions: 249 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 42% 104 of 249 matches +1 pts vs 2025/26 (177)
Away wins 33% 81 of 249 matches +3 pts vs 2025/26 (177)
Over 2.5 goals 45% 111 of 249 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (177)
Both teams scored 51% 126 of 249 matches -4 pts vs 2025/26 (177)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (177 played matches).

Competitions in Uruguay

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Uruguay by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#1
Net rating
+0.91
Attack
1.68
Defence
0.76
Form NextProgreso (H) · 10 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Uruguay

What happened next to what we predicted