Next fixtures in Wales
6 fixtures on 30 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Town vs TrefelinWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Barry TownOur prob 66% | — | 66% | — | C | — |
| Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFCWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Haverfordwest County AFCOur prob 57%Best odds 1.63 | +1% | 57% | 57% | C | 1.63 |
| Briton Ferry vs LlandudnoWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | LlandudnoOur prob 41%Best odds 2.17 | -2% | 41% | 43% | C | 2.17 |
| Airbus UK vs Caernarfon TownWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Caernarfon TownOur prob 50%Best odds 1.81 | -1% | 50% | 51% | C | 1.81 |
| Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & ClydachWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Colwyn BayOur prob 64%Best odds 1.53 | +4% | 64% | 60% | C | 1.53 |
| Flint Town United vs HolywellWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Flint Town UnitedOur prob 64%Best odds 1.43 | 0% | 64% | 65% | C | 1.43 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Wales — country trends
How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Wales’s covered competitions: 111 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (195 played matches).
Competitions in Wales
1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.
-
Wales · league- Teams
- 16
- Played
- 111 of 240
- Upcoming
- 60
Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.
Top teams in Wales by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +3.04
- Attack
- 3.76
- Defence
- 0.71
- Net rating
- +1.16
- Attack
- 2.47
- Defence
- 1.31
- Net rating
- +1.14
- Attack
- 2.00
- Defence
- 0.86
- Net rating
- +0.70
- Attack
- 1.82
- Defence
- 1.12
- Net rating
- +0.61
- Attack
- 2.08
- Defence
- 1.47
- Net rating
- +0.47
- Attack
- 1.66
- Defence
- 1.19
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent results in Wales
What happened next to what we predicted