Next fixtures in Wales
7 fixtures on 9 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff MET vs TrefelinWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Cardiff METOur prob 72%Best odds 1.30 | +9% | 79% | 70% | C | 1.30 |
| Llandudno vs Airbus UKWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | LlandudnoOur prob 41%Best odds 2.10 | -13% | 32% | 44% | C | 2.10 |
| Penybont vs Barry TownWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | PenybontOur prob 49%Best odds 1.95 | +6% | 54% | 48% | C | 1.95 |
| Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caernarfon TownWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Caernarfon TownOur prob 58%Best odds 1.61 | +3% | 60% | 57% | C | 1.61 |
| Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FCWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | GAP Connah S Quay FCOur prob 67%Best odds 1.34 | -4% | 64% | 68% | C | 1.34 |
| Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFCWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Cambrian & ClydachOur prob 68%Best odds 1.32 | -8% | 61% | 70% | C | 1.32 |
| Holywell vs The New SaintsWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | The New SaintsOur prob 93%Best odds 1.03 | +2% | 94% | 92% | C | 1.03 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Wales — country trends
How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Wales’s covered competitions: 96 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (195 played matches).
Competitions in Wales
1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.
-
Wales · league- Teams
- 16
- Played
- 96 of 240
- Upcoming
- 60
Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.
Top teams in Wales by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +2.14
- Attack
- 2.89
- Defence
- 0.75
- Net rating
- +1.07
- Attack
- 1.95
- Defence
- 0.88
- Net rating
- +1.01
- Attack
- 2.43
- Defence
- 1.42
- Net rating
- +0.61
- Attack
- 1.70
- Defence
- 1.09
- Net rating
- +0.44
- Attack
- 1.63
- Defence
- 1.19
- Net rating
- +0.44
- Attack
- 1.65
- Defence
- 1.21
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent results in Wales
What happened next to what we predicted