FF Jaro vs PK-35 preview
In the upcoming match between FF Jaro and PK-35, the 1X2 probabilities show FF Jaro at 27%, a draw at 31%, and PK-35 at 42%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs with a 12% probability.
FF Jaro has an expected goals figure of 0.98, while PK-35 has 1.28. The model suggests a 39% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance for both teams to score. However, FF Jaro's recent form of D-W-D-D-L-L could impact their performance, potentially leading to a different outcome than expected.
FF Jaro vs PK-35: model vs market
| Source | FF Jaro | Draw | PK-35 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27% | 31% | 42% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 27% | 31% | 42% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FF Jaro and PK-35 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.26
- Attack rating (FF Jaro / PK-35)
- 0.63 / 1.00
- Defence rating (FF Jaro / PK-35)
- 0.94 / 1.00
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FF Jaro vs PK-35 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FF Jaro goals. Columns: PK-35 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FF Jaro vs PK-35 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FF Jaro vs PK-35
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FF Jaro | 27% | 3.67 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.24 | |
| PK-35 | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.54 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.15 |
| No | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FF Jaro or draw) | 58% | 1.72 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or PK-35) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| Handicap -1 | PK-35 win by 2+ | 20% | 5.11 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FF Jaro and PK-35 recent form
FF Jaro
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FF Jaro at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-6-4
- Win rate
- 23%
- Goals for / match
- 1.23
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 4 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
League matches this season before kick-off: FF Jaro at home only, PK-35 away only.
FF Jaro vs PK-35 head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: FF Jaro 4 · draws 2 · PK-35 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-28 | PK-35 | 0-1 | FF Jaro | Ykkösliiga |
| 2024-07-17 | PK-35 | 2-1 | FF Jaro | Ykkösliiga |
| 2024-05-19 | FF Jaro | 2-1 | PK-35 | Ykkösliiga |
| 2022-07-16 | PK-35 | 0-4 | FF Jaro | Ykkönen |
| 2022-05-15 | FF Jaro | 4-0 | PK-35 | Ykkönen |
| 2022-03-13 | PK-35 | 0-0 | FF Jaro | Ykköscup |
| 2021-08-28 | PK-35 | 2-1 | FF Jaro | Ykkönen |
| 2021-06-20 | FF Jaro | 1-1 | PK-35 | Ykkönen |
Before and after this match
- FF Jaro, previous: PK-35 vs FF Jaro prediction
- PK-35, previous: PK-35 vs FF Jaro prediction