Rana vs Bodo/Glimt: model vs market
| Source | Rana | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.42 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Rana and Bodo/Glimt expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.52
- Attack rating (Rana / Bodo/Glimt)
- 1.02 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Rana / Bodo/Glimt)
- 1.00 / 0.77
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Rana vs Bodo/Glimt score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Rana goals. Columns: Bodo/Glimt goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Rana vs Bodo/Glimt goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Rana vs Bodo/Glimt
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rana | 8% | 12.94 |
| Draw | 12% | 8.39 | |
| Bodo/Glimt | 80% | 1.24 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83% | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 | 17% | 5.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| No | 35% | 2.85 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Rana or draw) | 20% | 5.09 |
| 12 (either side) | 88% | 1.14 | |
| X2 (draw or Bodo/Glimt) | 92% | 1.08 | |
| Handicap -1 | Bodo/Glimt win by 2+ | 64% | 1.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Rana and Bodo/Glimt recent form
Rana
2W 0D 1L
Bodo/Glimt
4W 0D 2L
Last 3 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bodo/Glimt away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 5.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Rana at home only, Bodo/Glimt away only.
Rana vs Bodo/Glimt head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Rana 0 · draws 0 · Bodo/Glimt 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-19 | Rana | 0-4 | Bodo/Glimt | NM Cupen |
| 2021-07-25 | Rana | 1-4 | Bodo/Glimt | NM Cupen |