Updated

Norway · 2027/28 season

NM Cupen Football Predictions

In the NM Cupen, the current leader has 9 points after 98 matches played this season. With an average of 5.01 goals per match and 86% of matches going over 2.5 goals, there is a strong trend for high-scoring games. However, 52% of matches have seen both teams score, which could influence predictions.

Teams 128 in the 2027/28 season
Matches played 98 of 113 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 15 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 103 so far this season

Upcoming NM Cupen fixtures

15 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction.

NM Cupen fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Tromsdalen Uil vs LynNM CupenC NM Cupen Tromsdalen UilOur prob 44% — 44% — C —
Asane vs hoddNM CupenC NM Cupen hoddOur prob 76% — 76% — C —
Egersund vs BryneNM CupenC NM Cupen BryneOur prob 41%Best odds 3.46 +12% 41% 30% C 3.46
Kristiansund BK vs AalesundNM CupenC NM Cupen AalesundOur prob 46%Best odds 2.88 +13% 46% 33% C 2.88
Molde vs StromsgodsetNM CupenC NM Cupen MoldeOur prob 59%Best odds 1.25 -16% 59% 75% C 1.25
Pors Grenland vs KongsvingerNM CupenC NM Cupen KongsvingerOur prob 63%Best odds 1.69 +7% 63% 57% C 1.69
Ranheim vs FredrikstadNM CupenC NM Cupen FredrikstadOur prob 53%Best odds 1.78 0% 53% 53% C 1.78
Rosenborg vs Ham-KamNM CupenC NM Cupen RosenborgOur prob 69%Best odds 1.25 -6% 69% 75% C 1.25
Grorud vs BrannNM CupenC NM Cupen BrannOur prob 70%Best odds 1.33 -1% 70% 71% C 1.33
ODD Ballklubb vs SandefjordNM CupenC NM Cupen SandefjordOur prob 40%Best odds 2.96 +8% 40% 32% C 2.96
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs ValerengaNM CupenC NM Cupen ValerengaOur prob 41%Best odds 3.00 +9% 41% 32% C 3.00
Lillestrom vs SogndalNM CupenC NM Cupen LillestromOur prob 62%Best odds 1.20 -17% 62% 79% C 1.20
Sandnes ULF vs Bodo/GlimtNM CupenC NM Cupen Bodo/GlimtOur prob 84% — 84% — C —
Viking vs KFUM OsloNM CupenC NM Cupen KFUM OsloOur prob 55% — 55% — C —
Tromso vs HaugesundNM CupenC NM Cupen TromsoOur prob 54%Best odds 1.35 -16% 54% 69% C 1.35

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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NM Cupen table

2027/28 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

NM Cupen table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Start 3 300 104 +6 9
2 Molde 2 200 160 +16 6
3 Sandefjord 2 200 160 +16 6
4 Aalesund 2 200 173 +14 6
5 Kongsvinger 2 200 174 +13 6
6 Rosenborg 2 200 131 +12 6
7 ODD Ballklubb 2 200 132 +11 6
8 Bodo/Glimt 2 200 112 +9 6
9 Tromsdalen Uil 2 200 101 +9 6
10 Stromsgodset 2 200 101 +9 6
11 Valerenga 2 200 113 +8 6
12 Ranheim 2 200 80 +8 6
13 Fredrikstad 2 200 81 +7 6
14 Lillestrom 2 200 81 +7 6
15 Ham-Kam 2 200 70 +7 6
16 Lyn 2 200 71 +6 6
17 Tromso 2 200 71 +6 6
18 Kristiansund BK 2 200 71 +6 6
19 Bryne 2 200 71 +6 6
20 KFUM Oslo 2 200 60 +6 6
21 Haugesund 2 200 83 +5 6
22 Brann 2 200 61 +5 6
23 Viking 2 200 61 +5 6
24 Egersund 2 200 73 +4 6
25 Pors Grenland 2 200 51 +4 6
26 hodd 2 200 51 +4 6
27 Sarpsborg 08 FF 2 200 40 +4 6
28 Raufoss 3 201 85 +3 6
29 Sandnes ULF 2 200 53 +2 6
30 Rana 3 201 810 -2 6
31 Sogndal 2 110 91 +8 4
32 Sotra 2 110 71 +6 4
33 Grorud 2 110 62 +4 4
34 Moss 2 110 41 +3 4
35 Sandviken 2 110 43 +1 4
36 Asane 2 110 32 +1 4
37 Levanger 2 101 82 +6 3
38 Eidsvold 2 101 95 +4 3
39 Asker 2 101 84 +4 3
40 Træff 2 101 73 +4 3
41 Gamle Oslo 2 101 74 +3 3
42 Brattvåg 2 101 74 +3 3
43 Notodden 2 101 63 +3 3
44 Arendal 2 101 63 +3 3
45 Kjelsås 2 101 42 +2 3
46 Stjørdals-Blink 2 101 31 +2 3
47 Førde 2 101 76 +1 3
48 Hønefoss 2 101 43 +1 3
49 Stabaek 2 101 32 +1 3
50 Os 2 101 32 +1 3
51 Flint 2 101 21 +1 3
52 Skeid 2 101 55 0 3
53 Bærum 2 101 55 0 3
54 Djerv 2 101 44 0 3
55 Vindbjart 2 101 44 0 3
56 Alta 2 101 33 0 3
57 jerv 2 101 33 0 3
58 Fløya 2 101 67 -1 3
59 Bjarg 2 101 45 -1 3
60 Follo 2 101 23 -1 3
61 Elverum 2 101 79 -2 3
62 Madla 2 101 35 -2 3
63 Trygg/Lade 2 101 35 -2 3
64 Strommen 2 101 511 -6 3
65 Ull/Kisa 1 001 67 -1 0
66 Vard 1 001 34 -1 0
67 Vidar 1 001 23 -1 0
68 Varhaug 1 001 23 -1 0
69 Spjelkavik 1 001 12 -1 0
70 Askøy 1 001 12 -1 0
71 Råde 1 001 12 -1 0
72 Bossekop 1 001 12 -1 0
73 Fram 1 001 12 -1 0
74 Flekkerøy 1 001 12 -1 0
75 Flekkefjord 1 001 12 -1 0
76 Arna-Bjørnar 1 001 01 -1 0
77 Harstad 1 001 01 -1 0
78 Stalkam 2 002 46 -2 0
79 Junkeren 1 001 35 -2 0
80 Lillehammer 1 001 24 -2 0
81 Floro 1 001 24 -2 0
82 Fana 1 001 13 -2 0
83 Brodd 1 001 13 -2 0
84 Heming 1 001 02 -2 0
85 Lysekloster 1 001 02 -2 0
86 Sparta Sarpsborg 1 001 02 -2 0
87 Ørn Horten 1 001 02 -2 0
88 Våg 1 001 25 -3 0
89 Nordstrand 1 001 14 -3 0
90 Eik-Tønsberg 1 001 14 -3 0
91 Urædd 1 001 03 -3 0
92 Lørenskog 1 001 03 -3 0
93 Melhus 1 001 03 -3 0
94 Tynset 1 001 03 -3 0
95 Rosseland 1 001 03 -3 0
96 Aurskog Finstadbru 1 001 03 -3 0
97 Volda 1 001 26 -4 0
98 Lokomotiv Oslo 1 001 15 -4 0
99 Froland 1 001 15 -4 0
100 Ridabu 1 001 04 -4 0
101 Åssiden IF 1 001 04 -4 0
102 Mjondalen 1 001 04 -4 0
103 SF Grei 1 001 04 -4 0
104 Nord 1 001 04 -4 0
105 IF Ready 1 001 04 -4 0
106 Frigg 1 001 04 -4 0
107 Fyllingen 1 001 04 -4 0
108 Gjøvik-Lyn 1 001 27 -5 0
109 Christiania BK 1 001 27 -5 0
110 Drøbak / Frogn 1 001 16 -5 0
111 Ulfstind 1 001 05 -5 0
112 Trønder-Lyn 1 001 05 -5 0
113 Trysil FK 1 001 05 -5 0
114 Fauske Sprint 1 001 05 -5 0
115 Eidsvold IF 1 001 17 -6 0
116 Frøya 1 001 06 -6 0
117 Steinkjer 1 001 06 -6 0
118 Modum FK 1 001 06 -6 0
119 Kvik Halden 1 001 07 -7 0
120 Rollon 1 001 07 -7 0
121 Fjøra 1 001 08 -8 0
122 Strindheim 1 001 08 -8 0
123 National Kameratene 1 001 09 -9 0
124 Teie 1 001 010 -10 0
125 Midsund 1 001 011 -11 0
126 Skreia 1 001 214 -12 0
127 Langevag 1 001 013 -13 0
128 Eidanger 1 001 015 -15 0

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

NM Cupen trends

How NM Cupen matches actually ended in the 2027/28: 98 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 11% 11 of 98 matches -22 pts vs 2026/27 (79)
Away wins 86% 84 of 98 matches +26 pts vs 2026/27 (79)
Over 2.5 goals 86% 84 of 98 matches 0 pts vs 2026/27 (79)
Both teams scored 52% 51 of 98 matches -21 pts vs 2026/27 (79)

Change is in percentage points against the 2026/27 season (79 played matches).

Top NM Cupen teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Tromsdalen Uil
#1
Net rating
+2.15
Attack
3.83
Defence
1.69
Form NextLyn (H) · 28 Oct
#2
Net rating
+1.89
Attack
3.50
Defence
1.61
Form NextStromsgodset (H) · 28 Oct
Net rating
+1.77
Attack
3.03
Defence
1.26
Form NextHam-Kam (H) · 28 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent NM Cupen results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent NM Cupen results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Raufoss vs StartOur pick Start · 64% Start to win 64% 1–5 Correct
Madla vs VikingOur pick Viking · 85% Viking to win 85% 0–3 Correct
Bærum vs LillestromOur pick Lillestrom · 78% Lillestrom to win 78% 1–5 Correct
Rana vs Bodo/GlimtOur pick Bodo/Glimt · 80% Bodo/Glimt to win 80% 2–6 Correct
Hønefoss vs KFUM OsloOur pick KFUM Oslo · 57% KFUM Oslo to win 57% 0–2 Correct
Flint vs SandefjordOur pick Sandefjord · 75% Sandefjord to win 75% 0–1 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.