Updated

NM Cupen · Round of 32

Viking vs KFUM Oslo

· Lyse Arena, Stavanger

Alin prediction KFUM Oslo to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
VikingDrawKFUM Oslo
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.21.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Viking vs KFUM Oslo preview

Viking faces KFUM Oslo with a 20% chance of winning, while KFUM Oslo has a 55% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which reflects KFUM Oslo's stronger recent form, having won 5 of their last 6 matches compared to Viking's 4 wins in the same period.

The model suggests a 56% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 57% probability for both teams to score. Viking's expected goals stand at 1.12, while KFUM Oslo's is at 1.84. If Viking can improve their scoring rate or if KFUM Oslo underperforms, the predictions could change.

Viking vs KFUM Oslo: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceVikingDrawKFUM Oslo
Model20%25%55%
Market———
Published20%25%55%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.21.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Viking and KFUM Oslo expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.21Viking
1.98KFUM Oslo
Total expected goals
3.19
Attack rating (Viking / KFUM Oslo)
1.17 / 0.84
Defence rating (Viking / KFUM Oslo)
0.76 / 0.72

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Viking vs KFUM Oslo score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.1% 7.2% 8.1% 5.4% 4.2% 1 4.0% 10.8% 9.8% 6.5% 5.1% 2 3.0% 5.9% 5.9% 3.9% 3.0% 3 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.6% 1.2% 4+ 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.5%

Rows: Viking goals. Columns: KFUM Oslo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Viking vs KFUM Oslo goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 62%
Over 3.5 40%
Both teams to score
57%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Viking vs KFUM Oslo

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Viking20%4.93
Draw25%4.07
KFUM Oslo55%1.81
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556%1.78
Under 2.544%2.29
Both teams to scoreYes57%1.77
No43%2.30
Double chance1X (Viking or draw)45%2.23
12 (either side)75%1.33
X2 (draw or KFUM Oslo)80%1.25
Handicap -1KFUM Oslo win by 2+33%3.06
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Viking and KFUM Oslo recent form

Viking 3W 1D 2L
KFUM Oslo 3W 3D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

KFUM Oslo away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
3.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
2 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: Viking at home only, KFUM Oslo away only.

Viking vs KFUM Oslo head-to-head

Last 7 meetings: Viking 5 · draws 1 · KFUM Oslo 1.

VikingDrawsKFUM Oslo
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-10KFUM Oslo0-2VikingEliteserien
2025-09-14KFUM Oslo2-2VikingEliteserien
2025-04-06Viking3-1KFUM OsloEliteserien
2024-09-14Viking1-0KFUM OsloEliteserien
2024-07-07KFUM Oslo1-2VikingEliteserien
2024-02-16Viking1-2KFUM OsloFriendlies Clubs
2022-03-19KFUM Oslo0-5VikingNM Cupen

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot KFUM Oslo to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on KFUM Oslo