Sport Huancayo vs Cusco preview
In the match between Sport Huancayo and Cusco, the 1X2 probabilities show Sport Huancayo at 53%, with the most likely scoreline being 2-1 (10%). Sport Huancayo has a strong recent form with 4 wins and 1 loss, while Cusco has a mixed form of 3 wins and 3 losses.
Both teams to score stands at 59%, and Over 2.5 goals is also at 59%. However, Cusco has a perfect head-to-head record against Sport Huancayo, winning all 3 previous encounters. This could challenge the expectation of a home win despite Huancayo's better recent performance.
Sport Huancayo vs Cusco: model vs market
| Source | Sport Huancayo | Draw | Cusco |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 53% | 25% | 23% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.17.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Sport Huancayo and Cusco expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.04
- Attack rating (Sport Huancayo / Cusco)
- 1.13 / 1.15
- Defence rating (Sport Huancayo / Cusco)
- 0.96 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sport Huancayo vs Cusco score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sport Huancayo goals. Columns: Cusco goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sport Huancayo vs Cusco goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sport Huancayo vs Cusco
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sport Huancayo | 53% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.06 | |
| Cusco | 23% | 4.42 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.68 |
| No | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sport Huancayo or draw) | 77% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Cusco) | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sport Huancayo win by 2+ | 31% | 3.25 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Sport Huancayo and Cusco recent form
Sport Huancayo
5W 0D 1L
Cusco
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sport Huancayo at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-3
- Win rate
- 54%
- Goals for / match
- 1.54
- Goals against / match
- 1.15
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cusco away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-8
- Win rate
- 36%
- Goals for / match
- 1.21
- Goals against / match
- 2.07
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 14
- They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Sport Huancayo at home only, Cusco away only.
Sport Huancayo vs Cusco head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Sport Huancayo 0 · draws 0 · Cusco 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Cusco | 2-1 | Sport Huancayo | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-11-23 | Sport Huancayo | 1-2 | Cusco | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-07-13 | Cusco | 3-0 | Sport Huancayo | Peru Primera División |
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
- Sport Huancayo, previous: Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo prediction
- Cusco, previous: Cusco v Alianza Lima analysis