Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs ADT preview
In the fixture between Club Deportivo Los Chankas and ADT, the 1X2 probabilities show Club Deportivo Los Chankas at 50%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (10%). The model indicates a 53% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance for both teams to score.
Recent form reveals Club Deportivo Los Chankas has struggled, with 5 losses in their last 6 matches, while ADT has 4 losses in their last 6. Despite the probabilities favoring Club Deportivo Los Chankas, their poor recent performance could lead to an unexpected outcome. The head-to-head record also shows ADT has 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 encounters, which adds to the uncertainty.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs ADT: model vs market
| Source | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Draw | ADT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 26% | 23% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 50% | 26% | 23% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 1.08.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Club Deportivo Los Chankas and ADT expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.78
- Attack rating (Club Deportivo Los Chankas / ADT)
- 0.76 / 0.73
- Defence rating (Club Deportivo Los Chankas / ADT)
- 1.40 / 1.36
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs ADT score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Club Deportivo Los Chankas goals. Columns: ADT goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs ADT goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs ADT
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 50% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 | |
| ADT | 23% | 4.32 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or ADT) | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas win by 2+ | 28% | 3.57 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Club Deportivo Los Chankas and ADT recent form
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0W 2D 4L
ADT
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Club Deportivo Los Chankas at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-1-4
- Win rate
- 64%
- Goals for / match
- 1.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.36
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.
ADT away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-8
- Win rate
- 8%
- Goals for / match
- 0.77
- Goals against / match
- 1.92
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Club Deportivo Los Chankas at home only, ADT away only.
Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs ADT head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0 · draws 1 · ADT 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | ADT | 4-0 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-11-10 | ADT | 1-0 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Peru Primera División |
| 2025-07-04 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 1-1 | ADT | Peru Primera División |
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
- Sport Huancayo vs Cusco — team news & stats 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas, previous: Atletico Grau – Club Deportivo Los Chankas, 2026-10-08
- ADT, previous: ADT vs FC Cajamarca: odds and pick