CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj preview
CFR 1907 Cluj hosts Universitatea Cluj in Liga I, with a 42% probability for a home win according to the model. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. The market suggests a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 64%.
CFR 1907 Cluj has an expected goals figure of 1.91, while Universitatea Cluj sits at 1.35. Recent form shows CFR 1907 Cluj with two wins in their last five matches, while Universitatea Cluj has won three of their last six. With a confidence grade of C, the predictions blend model probabilities with market odds, indicating potential uncertainty in the outcome.
CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj: model vs market
| Source | CFR 1907 Cluj | Draw | Universitatea Cluj |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 24% | 26% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 33% |
| Published | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Edge | +10% | -3% | -6% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.35.
- The market prices CFR 1907 Cluj below the model: +9.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.38, recorded — the top price across the 12 books we record, each at its own last update.
CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj odds movement
Median bookmaker price on CFR 1907 Cluj, 88 snapshots since 2026-08-22.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFR 1907 Cluj | 2.00 | 2.31 | +0.31 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.30 | +0.00 |
| Universitatea Cluj | 3.50 | 2.80 | -0.70 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
CFR 1907 Cluj and Universitatea Cluj expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.26
- Attack rating (CFR 1907 Cluj / Universitatea Cluj)
- 1.09 / 1.08
- Defence rating (CFR 1907 Cluj / Universitatea Cluj)
- 1.19 / 1.15
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CFR 1907 Cluj goals. Columns: Universitatea Cluj goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 42% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.72 | |
| Universitatea Cluj | 31% | 3.22 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.58 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.72 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| No | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CFR 1907 Cluj or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Universitatea Cluj) | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | CFR 1907 Cluj win by 2+ | 29% | 3.48 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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CFR 1907 Cluj and Universitatea Cluj recent form
CFR 1907 Cluj
3W 1D 2L
Universitatea Cluj
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CFR 1907 Cluj at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Universitatea Cluj away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: CFR 1907 Cluj at home only, Universitatea Cluj away only.
CFR 1907 Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: CFR 1907 Cluj 4 · draws 2 · Universitatea Cluj 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 1-0 | Universitatea Cluj | Liga I |
| 2026-03-16 | Universitatea Cluj | 2-1 | CFR 1907 Cluj | Liga I |
| 2026-02-07 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 3-2 | Universitatea Cluj | Liga I |
| 2025-09-29 | Universitatea Cluj | 2-2 | CFR 1907 Cluj | Liga I |
| 2025-05-03 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 1-0 | Universitatea Cluj | Liga I |
| 2025-03-31 | Universitatea Cluj | 1-0 | CFR 1907 Cluj | Liga I |
| 2024-12-09 | Universitatea Cluj | 3-2 | CFR 1907 Cluj | Liga I |
| 2024-08-04 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 2-3 | Universitatea Cluj | Liga I |
| 2023-12-21 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 4-0 | Universitatea Cluj | Liga I |
| 2023-11-02 | Universitatea Cluj | 1-1 | CFR 1907 Cluj | Cupa României |