Hibernian vs Dundee preview
In the Scotland Premiership fixture between Hibernian and Dundee, the 1X2 probabilities show Hibernian at 33%, Dundee at 39%, and a draw at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 9% likelihood. Hibernian's recent form is poor, with 5 losses and 1 draw in their last 6 matches, while Dundee has 2 wins, 1 loss, and 3 draws in the same period.
The expected goals are 1.24 for Hibernian and 1.36 for Dundee, suggesting a close contest. The model indicates a 48% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance for both teams to score. However, Hibernian's recent struggles could lead to a different outcome, despite their historical head-to-head advantage of 3 wins in the last 4 encounters against Dundee.
Hibernian vs Dundee: model vs market
| Source | Hibernian | Draw | Dundee |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 29% | 39% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 33% | 29% | 39% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Hibernian and Dundee expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.60
- Attack rating (Hibernian / Dundee)
- 0.79 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Hibernian / Dundee)
- 1.06 / 1.00
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hibernian vs Dundee score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hibernian goals. Columns: Dundee goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hibernian vs Dundee goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hibernian vs Dundee
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hibernian | 33% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Dundee | 39% | 2.60 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.07 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| No | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hibernian or draw) | 61% | 1.63 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Dundee) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dundee win by 2+ | 18% | 5.45 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Hibernian and Dundee recent form
Hibernian
0W 1D 5L
Dundee
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hibernian at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Dundee away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 56% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hibernian at home only, Dundee away only.
Hibernian vs Dundee head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Hibernian 3 · draws 1 · Dundee 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Dundee | 1-2 | Hibernian | Scotland Premiership |
| 2026-02-28 | Dundee | 3-3 | Hibernian | Scotland Premiership |
| 2025-11-22 | Hibernian | 2-0 | Dundee | Scotland Premiership |
| 2025-08-03 | Dundee | 1-2 | Hibernian | Scotland Premiership |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Motherwell vs ST Mirren 2026-10-31
- Rangers v Aberdeen — match page 2026-10-31
- Dundee Utd vs Heart Of Midlothian — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Falkirk vs Celtic 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Hibernian, previous: ST Mirren vs Hibernian: odds and pick
- Dundee, previous: Dundee – Kilmarnock, 2026-10-28