Durban City vs Amazulu: model vs market
| Source | Durban City | Draw | Amazulu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Durban City and Amazulu expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.89
- Attack rating (Durban City / Amazulu)
- 0.83 / 1.21
- Defence rating (Durban City / Amazulu)
- 0.88 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Durban City vs Amazulu score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Durban City goals. Columns: Amazulu goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Durban City vs Amazulu goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 16%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Durban City vs Amazulu
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Durban City | 30% | 3.28 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.90 | |
| Amazulu | 35% | 2.86 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29% | 3.39 |
| Under 2.5 | 71% | 1.42 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.58 |
| No | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Durban City or draw) | 65% | 1.54 |
| 12 (either side) | 65% | 1.53 | |
| X2 (draw or Amazulu) | 70% | 1.44 | |
| Handicap -1 | Amazulu win by 2+ | 14% | 7.28 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Durban City and Amazulu recent form
Durban City
3W 2D 1L
Amazulu
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Durban City at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Amazulu away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Durban City at home only, Amazulu away only.
Durban City vs Amazulu head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Durban City 0 · draws 0 · Amazulu 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Durban City | 0-1 | Amazulu | Premier Soccer League |
| 2025-10-18 | Amazulu | 1-0 | Durban City | Premier Soccer League |
Before and after this match
- Durban City, next: Durban City vs ASPL 2000: odds and pick