TTarancón vs Levante

Tarancón vs Levante: model vs market

• Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.45.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.17, recorded 2026-11-03 — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Tarancón vs Levante odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Levante, 15 snapshots since 2026-10-27.

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Tarancón and Levante expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

Total expected goals

3.43

Attack rating (Tarancón / Levante)

1.00 / 0.96

Defence rating (Tarancón / Levante)

1.00 / 1.17

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Tarancón vs Levante score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

Rows: Tarancón goals. Columns: Levante goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Tarancón vs Levante goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Both teams to score

67%

No goals (0–0)

4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

Tarancón and Levante recent form

Levante LLWDDL 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.