Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain: model vs market
| Source | Stade Tunisien | Draw | Club Africain |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 33% | 31% |
| Market | 34% | 35% | 32% |
| Published | 34% | 34% | 31% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | 0% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Stade Tunisien and Club Africain expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.09
- Attack rating (Stade Tunisien / Club Africain)
- 1.15 / 1.41
- Defence rating (Stade Tunisien / Club Africain)
- 0.99 / 0.90
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Stade Tunisien goals. Columns: Club Africain goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stade Tunisien | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Club Africain | 31% | 3.18 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.31 |
| No | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Stade Tunisien or draw) | 69% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| X2 (draw or Club Africain) | 66% | 1.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | Stade Tunisien win by 2+ | 15% | 6.51 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Stade Tunisien and Club Africain recent form
Stade Tunisien
3W 1D 2L
Club Africain
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Stade Tunisien at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
Club Africain away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Stade Tunisien at home only, Club Africain away only.
Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Stade Tunisien 2 · draws 5 · Club Africain 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Club Africain | 2-0 | Stade Tunisien | Tunisia Ligue 1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Stade Tunisien | 0-0 | Club Africain | Tunisia Ligue 1 |
| 2025-03-13 | Club Africain | 1-0 | Stade Tunisien | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-11-30 | Stade Tunisien | 1-0 | Club Africain | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-06-14 | Stade Tunisien | 1-1 | Club Africain | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-04-13 | Club Africain | 0-0 | Stade Tunisien | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-12-26 | Stade Tunisien | 2-1 | Club Africain | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-09-24 | Club Africain | 1-1 | Stade Tunisien | Ligue 1 |
| 2021-05-19 | Stade Tunisien | 0-1 | Club Africain | Ligue 1 |
| 2021-02-07 | Club Africain | 2-2 | Stade Tunisien | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- Stade Tunisien, previous: Stade Tunisien – ES Zarzis, 2026-10-29
- Club Africain, previous: Club Africain vs CA Bizertin prediction
- Club Africain, next: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer – Club Africain, 2026-11-07