Ukraine Premier League · Matchday 6

Veres Rivne vs Kudrivka

· Avanhard Stadium, Uzhhorod· Referee Mykhailo Mykhailovych Raida

Full time2 – 1

Alin prediction was Veres Rivne to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 1 – 0

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Veres RivneDrawKudrivka

Veres Rivne vs Kudrivka: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceVeres RivneDrawKudrivka
Model48%29%22%
Market45%28%27%
Published46%28%26%
Edge+3%+2%-5%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 0.90.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Veres Rivne below the model: +3.2 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Veres Rivne vs Kudrivka odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Veres Rivne, 9 snapshots since 2026-09-10.

Opened 1.93Now 2.05 +0.12
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Veres Rivne1.932.05+0.12
Draw3.363.30-0.06
Kudrivka3.803.40-0.40

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Veres Rivne and Kudrivka expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.43Veres Rivne
0.90Kudrivka
Total expected goals
2.32
Attack rating (Veres Rivne / Kudrivka)
0.71 / 0.78
Defence rating (Veres Rivne / Kudrivka)
0.95 / 1.54

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Veres Rivne vs Kudrivka score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.0% 7.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 1 12.7% 13.8% 5.6% 1.7% 0.5% 2 10.0% 8.9% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 3 4.7% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 4+ 2.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Veres Rivne goals. Columns: Kudrivka goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Veres Rivne vs Kudrivka goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 89%
Over 1.5 69%
Over 2.5 41%
Over 3.5 21%
Both teams to score
46%
No goals (0–0)
11%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Veres Rivne vs Kudrivka

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Veres Rivne46%2.19
Draw28%3.53
Kudrivka26%3.86
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541%2.44
Under 2.559%1.70
Both teams to scoreYes46%2.16
No54%1.86
Double chance1X (Veres Rivne or draw)74%1.35
12 (either side)72%1.39
X2 (draw or Kudrivka)54%1.84
Handicap -1Veres Rivne win by 2+24%4.10
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Veres Rivne and Kudrivka recent form

Veres Rivne 1W 3D 2L
Kudrivka 0W 2D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Veres Rivne at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
0 of 2
  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.

Kudrivka away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.67
Goals against / match
3.33
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Veres Rivne at home only, Kudrivka away only.

Veres Rivne vs Kudrivka head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Veres Rivne 2 · draws 1 · Kudrivka 0.

Veres RivneDrawsKudrivka
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-14Kudrivka0-0Veres RivneUkraine Premier League
2026-02-08Veres Rivne1-0KudrivkaFriendlies Clubs
2025-09-12Veres Rivne2-0KudrivkaUkraine Premier League