Baniyas SC vs Al-Wasl FC Prediction & Betting Tips 16/10/2026

Baniyas SC vs Al-Wasl FC preview

In the upcoming match between Baniyas SC and Al-Wasl FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Al-Wasl FC at 65%, while Baniyas SC sits at 15%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Al-Wasl FC has shown strong recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Baniyas SC has struggled, recording 6 consecutive losses.

The model predicts a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 64%. However, Baniyas SC's recent performance could lead to a different outcome if they manage to improve their form. The expected goals are 1.18 for Baniyas SC and 2.50 for Al-Wasl FC, indicating a potential challenge for the home side.

Baniyas SC vs Al-Wasl FC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Baniyas SC	Draw	Al-Wasl FC
Model	15%	19%	65%
Market	—	—	—
Published	15%	19%	65%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.50 vs 1.18.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Baniyas SC and Al-Wasl FC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.18Baniyas SC

2.50Al-Wasl FC

Total expected goals: 3.67
Attack rating (Baniyas SC / Al-Wasl FC): 0.84 / 1.55
Defence rating (Baniyas SC / Al-Wasl FC): 1.13 / 0.94

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Baniyas SC vs Al-Wasl FC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.3% 5.6% 7.9% 6.6% 7.5% 1 2.2% 8.2% 9.3% 7.7% 8.8% 2 1.8% 4.4% 5.5% 4.6% 5.1% 3 0.7% 1.7% 2.1% 1.8% 2.0% 4+ 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8%

Rows: Baniyas SC goals. Columns: Al-Wasl FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Baniyas SC vs Al-Wasl FC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%

Over 1.5 89%

Over 2.5 71%

Over 3.5 50%

Both teams to score: 64%
No goals (0–0): 3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Baniyas SC vs Al-Wasl FC

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Baniyas SC	15%	6.47
	Draw	19%	5.23
	Al-Wasl FC	65%	1.53
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	71%	1.41
	Under 2.5	29%	3.44
Both teams to score	Yes	64%	1.56
	No	36%	2.79
Double chance	1X (Baniyas SC or draw)	35%	2.89
	12 (either side)	81%	1.24
	X2 (draw or Al-Wasl FC)	85%	1.18
Handicap -1	Al-Wasl FC win by 2+	45%	2.24
	Push (exactly one goal)	21%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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