Colorado Springs vs Oakland Roots: model vs market
| Source | Colorado Springs | Draw | Oakland Roots |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 30% | 25% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Published | 53% | 25% | 21% |
| Edge | -11% | +6% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.94.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Colorado Springs vs Oakland Roots odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Colorado Springs, 12 snapshots since 2026-09-28.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Springs | 1.69 | 1.64 | -0.05 |
| Draw | 3.76 | 3.85 | +0.09 |
| Oakland Roots | 4.14 | 4.48 | +0.34 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Colorado Springs and Oakland Roots expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.29
- Attack rating (Colorado Springs / Oakland Roots)
- 1.01 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Colorado Springs / Oakland Roots)
- 0.92 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Colorado Springs vs Oakland Roots score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Colorado Springs goals. Columns: Oakland Roots goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Colorado Springs vs Oakland Roots goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Colorado Springs vs Oakland Roots
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colorado Springs | 53% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Oakland Roots | 21% | 4.65 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.49 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.15 |
| No | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Colorado Springs or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Oakland Roots) | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Handicap -1 | Colorado Springs win by 2+ | 22% | 4.58 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Colorado Springs and Oakland Roots recent form
Colorado Springs
3W 2D 1L
Oakland Roots
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Colorado Springs at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-3
- Win rate
- 54%
- Goals for / match
- 1.77
- Goals against / match
- 1.15
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 11 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oakland Roots away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.42
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Colorado Springs at home only, Oakland Roots away only.
Colorado Springs vs Oakland Roots head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Colorado Springs 8 · draws 1 · Oakland Roots 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Oakland Roots | 0-1 | Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
| 2025-08-10 | Oakland Roots | 1-2 | Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
| 2025-06-15 | Colorado Springs | 1-0 | Oakland Roots | USL Championship |
| 2024-11-03 | Colorado Springs | 2-0 | Oakland Roots | USL Championship |
| 2024-06-02 | Colorado Springs | 1-0 | Oakland Roots | USL Championship |
| 2024-04-28 | Oakland Roots | 0-2 | Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
| 2023-08-20 | Oakland Roots | 2-3 | Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
| 2023-06-03 | Colorado Springs | 0-1 | Oakland Roots | USL Championship |
| 2022-09-25 | Colorado Springs | 1-1 | Oakland Roots | USL Championship |
| 2022-05-01 | Oakland Roots | 0-3 | Colorado Springs | USL Championship |