Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos FC preview
In the match between Portuguesa FC and Metropolitanos FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Metropolitanos FC at 49%, while Portuguesa FC sits at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 0.94 for Portuguesa FC and 1.49 for Metropolitanos FC.
However, the recent form indicates that Portuguesa FC has drawn three of their last six matches, while Metropolitanos FC has seen a mix of draws and two wins. This could lead to a different outcome than predicted. Additionally, both teams to score stands at 49%, suggesting that goals from both sides are possible, which could influence the match dynamics significantly.
Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos FC: model vs market
| Source | Portuguesa FC | Draw | Metropolitanos FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 29% | 49% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 23% | 29% | 49% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Portuguesa FC and Metropolitanos FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.44
- Attack rating (Portuguesa FC / Metropolitanos FC)
- 0.89 / 1.44
- Defence rating (Portuguesa FC / Metropolitanos FC)
- 0.94 / 0.77
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Portuguesa FC goals. Columns: Metropolitanos FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portuguesa FC | 23% | 4.42 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 | |
| Metropolitanos FC | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.27 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.06 |
| No | 51% | 1.94 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Portuguesa FC or draw) | 51% | 1.95 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Metropolitanos FC) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| Handicap -1 | Metropolitanos FC win by 2+ | 25% | 3.95 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Portuguesa FC and Metropolitanos FC recent form
Portuguesa FC
0W 4D 2L
Metropolitanos FC
2W 4D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Portuguesa FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-6-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.39
- Goals against / match
- 0.89
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 18
- They have won 11 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 35 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Metropolitanos FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-7-3
- Win rate
- 44%
- Goals for / match
- 1.28
- Goals against / match
- 0.89
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 18
- They have won 19 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Portuguesa FC at home only, Metropolitanos FC away only.
Portuguesa FC vs Metropolitanos FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Portuguesa FC 3 · draws 3 · Metropolitanos FC 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Metropolitanos FC | 0-0 | Portuguesa FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2026-08-30 | Portuguesa FC | 2-2 | Metropolitanos FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2026-03-08 | Metropolitanos FC | 3-2 | Portuguesa FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-09-28 | Metropolitanos FC | 5-1 | Portuguesa FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2025-04-20 | Portuguesa FC | 2-1 | Metropolitanos FC | Venezuela Primera División |
| 2024-09-13 | Metropolitanos FC | 2-1 | Portuguesa FC | Primera División |
| 2024-03-20 | Portuguesa FC | 3-1 | Metropolitanos FC | Primera División |
| 2023-06-23 | Metropolitanos FC | 0-1 | Portuguesa FC | Primera División |
| 2023-05-21 | Portuguesa FC | 0-1 | Metropolitanos FC | Primera División |
| 2022-07-23 | Metropolitanos FC | 0-0 | Portuguesa FC | Primera División |
Other Clausura - Quadrangular - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
- Portuguesa FC, previous: Portuguesa FC – Deportivo La Guaira, 2026-11-04
- Metropolitanos FC, previous: Metropolitanos FC v Carabobo FC analysis