Dinamo Tirana vs Teuta Durrës preview
In the Albania Superliga fixture between Dinamo Tirana and Teuta Durrës, the 1X2 probabilities show Dinamo Tirana at 39%, Teuta Durrës at 33%, and a draw at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a 9% chance. The model also suggests a 53% likelihood for Over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance for both teams to score.
Dinamo Tirana's recent form includes 4 wins and 2 losses, while Teuta Durrës has 5 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 matches. Despite Dinamo Tirana's home advantage, they have not won against Teuta Durrës in their last 4 encounters, with 2 draws and 2 losses. This trend could impact the match outcome, making predictions less certain.
Dinamo Tirana vs Teuta Durrës: model vs market
| Source | Dinamo Tirana | Draw | Teuta Durrës |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Dinamo Tirana and Teuta Durrës expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.82
- Attack rating (Dinamo Tirana / Teuta Durrës)
- 1.52 / 1.25
- Defence rating (Dinamo Tirana / Teuta Durrës)
- 1.07 / 0.75
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dinamo Tirana vs Teuta Durrës score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dinamo Tirana goals. Columns: Teuta Durrës goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dinamo Tirana vs Teuta Durrës goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dinamo Tirana vs Teuta Durrës
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Tirana | 39% | 2.56 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.64 | |
| Teuta Durrës | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.15 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.72 |
| No | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dinamo Tirana or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Teuta Durrës) | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Tirana win by 2+ | 19% | 5.16 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Dinamo Tirana and Teuta Durrës recent form
Dinamo Tirana
4W 0D 2L
Teuta Durrës
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dinamo Tirana at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
Teuta Durrës away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dinamo Tirana at home only, Teuta Durrës away only.
Dinamo Tirana vs Teuta Durrës head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Dinamo Tirana 0 · draws 2 · Teuta Durrës 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Dinamo Tirana | 0-1 | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-01-15 | Teuta Durrës | 0-0 | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-11-03 | Dinamo Tirana | 0-0 | Teuta Durrës | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-09-17 | Teuta Durrës | 1-0 | Dinamo Tirana | Albania Superliga |
Before and after this match
- Dinamo Tirana, previous: Vllaznia Shkodër v Dinamo Tirana analysis
- Teuta Durrës, previous: Teuta Durrës – Skenderbeu Korce, 2026-10-10