Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana Prediction & Betting Tips 11/10/2026

Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Vllaznia Shkodër	Draw	Dinamo Tirana
Model	15%	20%	66%
Market	—	—	—
Published	15%	20%	66%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.09.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Vllaznia Shkodër and Dinamo Tirana expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.09Vllaznia Shkodër

2.40Dinamo Tirana

Total expected goals: 3.49
Attack rating (Vllaznia Shkodër / Dinamo Tirana): 0.79 / 1.52
Defence rating (Vllaznia Shkodër / Dinamo Tirana): 1.56 / 1.07

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.8% 6.5% 8.8% 7.1% 7.5% 1 2.5% 8.8% 9.6% 7.7% 8.1% 2 1.8% 4.3% 5.2% 4.2% 4.4% 3 0.7% 1.6% 1.9% 1.5% 1.6% 4+ 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5%

Rows: Vllaznia Shkodër goals. Columns: Dinamo Tirana goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%

Over 1.5 87%

Over 2.5 68%

Over 3.5 46%

Both teams to score: 61%
No goals (0–0): 4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Vllaznia Shkodër	15%	6.78
	Draw	20%	5.10
	Dinamo Tirana	66%	1.52
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	68%	1.48
	Under 2.5	32%	3.10
Both teams to score	Yes	61%	1.64
	No	39%	2.57
Double chance	1X (Vllaznia Shkodër or draw)	34%	2.91
	12 (either side)	80%	1.24
	X2 (draw or Dinamo Tirana)	85%	1.17
Handicap -1	Dinamo Tirana win by 2+	44%	2.26
	Push (exactly one goal)	21%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Vllaznia Shkodër and Dinamo Tirana recent form

Vllaznia Shkodër 0W 2D 4L

Dinamo Tirana 4W 0D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Vllaznia Shkodër at home

Record (W-D-L): 0-1-2
Win rate: 0%
Goals for / match: 1.33
Goals against / match: 2.33
Clean sheets: 0 of 3

Dinamo Tirana away

Record (W-D-L): 2-0-0
Win rate: 100%
Goals for / match: 2.50
Goals against / match: 1.00
Clean sheets: 1 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: Vllaznia Shkodër at home only, Dinamo Tirana away only.

Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Vllaznia Shkodër 2 · draws 1 · Dinamo Tirana 2.

40% 20% 40%

Vllaznia ShkodërDrawsDinamo Tirana

Previous meetings
Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
2026-05-16	Vllaznia Shkodër	0-2	Dinamo Tirana	Albania Superliga
2026-03-21	Vllaznia Shkodër	0-0	Dinamo Tirana	Albania Superliga
2026-01-19	Dinamo Tirana	0-2	Vllaznia Shkodër	Albania Superliga
2025-11-08	Vllaznia Shkodër	1-0	Dinamo Tirana	Albania Superliga
2025-08-31	Dinamo Tirana	3-1	Vllaznia Shkodër	Albania Superliga

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

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Prediction snapshot Dinamo Tirana to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Dinamo Tirana