Partizani vs Tirana: model vs market
| Source | Partizani | Draw | Tirana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.16 vs 1.40.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Partizani and Tirana expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.56
- Attack rating (Partizani / Tirana)
- 1.07 / 1.35
- Defence rating (Partizani / Tirana)
- 1.59 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Partizani vs Tirana score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Partizani goals. Columns: Tirana goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Partizani vs Tirana goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Partizani vs Tirana
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partizani | 24% | 4.20 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.48 | |
| Tirana | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 3.23 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.08 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Partizani or draw) | 46% | 2.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Tirana) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| Handicap -1 | Tirana win by 2+ | 33% | 3.01 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Partizani and Tirana recent form
Partizani
2W 1D 3L
Tirana
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Partizani at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
Tirana away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
League matches this season before kick-off: Partizani at home only, Tirana away only.
Partizani vs Tirana head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Partizani 2 · draws 0 · Tirana 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Tirana | 2-1 | Partizani | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-02-15 | Partizani | 2-0 | Tirana | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-12-07 | Tirana | 0-2 | Partizani | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-10-03 | Partizani | 0-3 | Tirana | Albania Superliga |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Teuta Durrës v Skenderbeu Korce — match page 2026-10-10
- AF Elbasani vs Vora 2026-10-10
- Laci vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2026-10-11
- Vllaznia Shkodër vs Dinamo Tirana — team news & stats 2026-10-11