MC Alger vs MC Oran preview
In the Algeria Ligue 1 fixture between MC Alger and MC Oran, MC Alger has a 50% chance to win, while MC Oran stands at 16%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 21% probability. MC Alger has an expected goals figure of 1.12, compared to MC Oran's 0.50, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions. The chances of Over 2.5 goals are only 22%, and both teams to score is at 28%. Recent form shows MC Alger with three wins in their last five matches, while MC Oran has also been consistent with four wins in their last five. This could lead to a more competitive match than the numbers suggest.
MC Alger vs MC Oran: model vs market
| Source | MC Alger | Draw | MC Oran |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 37% | 15% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 48% | 37% | 15% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.00 vs 0.44.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
MC Alger and MC Oran expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.44
- Attack rating (MC Alger / MC Oran)
- 1.30 / 0.84
- Defence rating (MC Alger / MC Oran)
- 0.59 / 0.57
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
MC Alger vs MC Oran score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: MC Alger goals. Columns: MC Oran goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
MC Alger vs MC Oran goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 24%
- No goals (0–0)
- 25%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for MC Alger vs MC Oran
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MC Alger | 48% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 37% | 2.67 | |
| MC Oran | 15% | 6.66 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 18% | 5.66 |
| Under 2.5 | 82% | 1.21 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 24% | 4.23 |
| No | 76% | 1.31 | |
| Double chance | 1X (MC Alger or draw) | 85% | 1.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 63% | 1.60 | |
| X2 (draw or MC Oran) | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Handicap -1 | MC Alger win by 2+ | 19% | 5.17 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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MC Alger and MC Oran recent form
MC Alger
4W 1D 1L
MC Oran
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
MC Alger at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- 54% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
MC Oran away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: MC Alger at home only, MC Oran away only.
MC Alger vs MC Oran head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: MC Alger 6 · draws 1 · MC Oran 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | MC Oran | 2-1 | MC Alger | Algeria Ligue 1 |
| 2025-09-16 | MC Alger | 3-2 | MC Oran | Algeria Ligue 1 |
| 2025-03-06 | MC Oran | 0-2 | MC Alger | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-10-11 | MC Alger | 1-0 | MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-06-14 | MC Alger | 3-2 | MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-01-26 | MC Oran | 0-2 | MC Alger | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-07-07 | MC Alger | 1-0 | MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
| 2022-12-07 | MC Oran | 3-0 | MC Alger | Ligue 1 |
| 2022-06-10 | MC Alger | 0-0 | MC Oran | Ligue 1 |
| 2022-02-05 | MC Oran | 1-0 | MC Alger | Ligue 1 |
Before and after this match
- MC Alger, previous: MC Alger vs Olympique Akbou prediction
- MC Alger, next: USM Alger – MC Alger, 2026-11-07
- MC Oran, previous: MC Oran – JS Saoura, 2026-10-31
- MC Oran, next: Ben Aknoun – MC Oran, 2026-11-07