Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 9

JS El Biar vs MC Alger

Alin prediction MC Alger to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
JS El BiarDrawMC Alger
  • WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

JS El Biar vs MC Alger preview

In the upcoming match between JS El Biar and MC Alger, the 1X2 probabilities show MC Alger at 47%, while JS El Biar sits at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, indicating a narrow victory for MC Alger, which aligns with their recent form of W-W-W.

However, JS El Biar has an expected goals figure of 1.56, suggesting they could score, and both teams to score stands at 53%. If JS El Biar can capitalize on their chances, the outcome may differ from the predicted scoreline. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the forecast.

JS El Biar vs MC Alger: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceJS El BiarDrawMC Alger
Model25%28%47%
Market———
Published25%28%47%
Edge———
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

JS El Biar and MC Alger expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.29JS El Biar
1.41MC Alger
Total expected goals
2.70
Attack rating (JS El Biar / MC Alger)
1.34 / 1.32
Defence rating (JS El Biar / MC Alger)
1.20 / 0.70

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

JS El Biar vs MC Alger score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.9% 8.2% 6.7% 3.1% 1.5% 1 7.4% 13.4% 8.6% 4.1% 2.0% 2 5.6% 7.9% 5.6% 2.6% 1.3% 3 2.4% 3.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.5% 4+ 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: JS El Biar goals. Columns: MC Alger goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

JS El Biar vs MC Alger goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 51%
Over 3.5 29%
Both teams to score
53%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for JS El Biar vs MC Alger

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2JS El Biar25%3.94
Draw28%3.58
MC Alger47%2.14
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548%2.06
Under 2.552%1.94
Both teams to scoreYes53%1.89
No47%2.13
Double chance1X (JS El Biar or draw)53%1.88
12 (either side)72%1.39
X2 (draw or MC Alger)75%1.34
Handicap -1MC Alger win by 2+19%5.33
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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JS El Biar and MC Alger recent form

JS El Biar 2W 2D 2L
MC Alger 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

JS El Biar at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

MC Alger away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
0 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: JS El Biar at home only, MC Alger away only.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot MC Alger to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on MC Alger