Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 10Postponed

MC Alger vs Olympique Akbou

Alin prediction MC Alger to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

16% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
MC AlgerDrawOlympique Akbou
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.66.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

MC Alger vs Olympique Akbou: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceMC AlgerDrawOlympique Akbou
Model53%30%17%
Market———
Published53%30%17%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.66.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

MC Alger and Olympique Akbou expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.58MC Alger
0.66Olympique Akbou
Total expected goals
2.24
Attack rating (MC Alger / Olympique Akbou)
1.32 / 1.04
Defence rating (MC Alger / Olympique Akbou)
0.70 / 0.88

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

MC Alger vs Olympique Akbou score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.8% 5.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 1 15.7% 12.2% 3.7% 0.8% 0.2% 2 13.3% 8.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 3 7.0% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 3.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%

Rows: MC Alger goals. Columns: Olympique Akbou goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

MC Alger vs Olympique Akbou goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 67%
Over 2.5 39%
Over 3.5 19%
Both teams to score
39%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for MC Alger vs Olympique Akbou

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2MC Alger53%1.88
Draw30%3.38
Olympique Akbou17%5.81
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536%2.81
Under 2.564%1.55
Both teams to scoreYes39%2.54
No61%1.65
Double chance1X (MC Alger or draw)83%1.21
12 (either side)70%1.42
X2 (draw or Olympique Akbou)47%2.13
Handicap -1MC Alger win by 2+32%3.10
Push (exactly one goal)26%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

MC Alger and Olympique Akbou recent form

MC Alger 4W 1D 1L
Olympique Akbou 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

MC Alger at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
2 of 2

Olympique Akbou away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
0.67
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
2 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: MC Alger at home only, Olympique Akbou away only.

MC Alger vs Olympique Akbou head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: MC Alger 2 · draws 0 · Olympique Akbou 0.

MC AlgerDrawsOlympique Akbou
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-28MC Alger2-1Olympique AkbouAlgeria Ligue 1
2025-09-12Olympique Akbou0-1MC AlgerAlgeria Ligue 1

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match