Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 10Postponed

MB Rouisset vs CR Belouizdad

Alin prediction MB Rouisset to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

14% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
MB RouissetDrawCR Belouizdad
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.89.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

MB Rouisset vs CR Belouizdad: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceMB RouissetDrawCR Belouizdad
Model39%34%27%
Market———
Published39%34%27%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.89.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

MB Rouisset and CR Belouizdad expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.20MB Rouisset
0.89CR Belouizdad
Total expected goals
2.09
Attack rating (MB Rouisset / CR Belouizdad)
0.94 / 1.34
Defence rating (MB Rouisset / CR Belouizdad)
0.74 / 0.93

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

MB Rouisset vs CR Belouizdad score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.7% 9.7% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4% 1 13.5% 14.5% 5.9% 1.8% 0.5% 2 8.9% 7.9% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 3 3.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 4+ 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Rows: MB Rouisset goals. Columns: CR Belouizdad goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

MB Rouisset vs CR Belouizdad goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 86%
Over 1.5 63%
Over 2.5 35%
Over 3.5 16%
Both teams to score
40%
No goals (0–0)
14%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for MB Rouisset vs CR Belouizdad

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2MB Rouisset39%2.55
Draw34%2.97
CR Belouizdad27%3.70
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531%3.22
Under 2.569%1.45
Both teams to scoreYes40%2.52
No60%1.66
Double chance1X (MB Rouisset or draw)73%1.37
12 (either side)66%1.51
X2 (draw or CR Belouizdad)61%1.65
Handicap -1MB Rouisset win by 2+19%5.34
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

MB Rouisset and CR Belouizdad recent form

MB Rouisset 4W 1D 1L
CR Belouizdad 4W 2D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

MB Rouisset at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
3 of 3
  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CR Belouizdad away

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
2.25
Goals against / match
1.75
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: MB Rouisset at home only, CR Belouizdad away only.

MB Rouisset vs CR Belouizdad head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: MB Rouisset 0 · draws 1 · CR Belouizdad 1.

MB RouissetDrawsCR Belouizdad
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-07CR Belouizdad3-1MB RouissetAlgeria Ligue 1
2025-10-03MB Rouisset1-1CR BelouizdadAlgeria Ligue 1

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match