ES Setif vs MB Rouisset preview
In the Algeria Ligue 1 fixture between ES Setif and MB Rouisset, the 1X2 probabilities show ES Setif at 49%, while MB Rouisset is at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16% chance. ES Setif has an expected goals figure of 1.20 compared to MB Rouisset's 0.73, indicating a stronger attacking potential.
However, recent form could influence the outcome. ES Setif has recorded two draws and a win in their last six matches, while MB Rouisset has three wins but also two losses. The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is only 34%, and both teams to score stands at 39%, suggesting a low-scoring game is more plausible.
ES Setif vs MB Rouisset: model vs market
| Source | ES Setif | Draw | MB Rouisset |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 31% | 20% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 31% | 20% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.73.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
ES Setif and MB Rouisset expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.93
- Attack rating (ES Setif / MB Rouisset)
- 1.15 / 0.95
- Defence rating (ES Setif / MB Rouisset)
- 0.86 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
ES Setif vs MB Rouisset score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: ES Setif goals. Columns: MB Rouisset goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
ES Setif vs MB Rouisset goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 16%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for ES Setif vs MB Rouisset
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Setif | 49% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.22 | |
| MB Rouisset | 20% | 5.12 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34% | 2.96 |
| Under 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.54 |
| No | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Double chance | 1X (ES Setif or draw) | 80% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or MB Rouisset) | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Handicap -1 | ES Setif win by 2+ | 21% | 4.75 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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ES Setif and MB Rouisset recent form
ES Setif
2W 2D 2L
MB Rouisset
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
ES Setif at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
MB Rouisset away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: ES Setif at home only, MB Rouisset away only.
ES Setif vs MB Rouisset head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: ES Setif 1 · draws 0 · MB Rouisset 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | ES Setif | 2-1 | MB Rouisset | Algeria Ligue 1 |
| 2025-09-19 | MB Rouisset | 3-0 | ES Setif | Algeria Ligue 1 |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- USM Alger v MC Oran — match page 2026-10-24
- Olympique Akbou v JS Kabylie — match page 2026-11-07
- US Biskra vs ASO Chlef 2026-11-08
- Khenchela vs Témouchent 2026-11-08
- JS El Biar vs MC Alger 2026-11-08
- JS Saoura vs CS Constantine — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Ben Aknoun vs CR Belouizdad — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- ES Setif, previous: ASO Chlef vs ES Setif prediction
- MB Rouisset, previous: MB Rouisset v Ben Aknoun analysis