Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 9

Ben Aknoun vs CR Belouizdad

Alin prediction Ben Aknoun to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Ben AknounDrawCR Belouizdad
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Ben Aknoun vs CR Belouizdad preview

In the fixture between Ben Aknoun and CR Belouizdad, the 1X2 probabilities show Ben Aknoun at 39%, a draw at 27%, and CR Belouizdad at 34%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Ben Aknoun, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score sits at 59%, suggesting a competitive match.

Ben Aknoun's expected goals are 1.44, while CR Belouizdad has 1.46. Recent form indicates Ben Aknoun has struggled with L-D-D-D-W-D, whereas CR Belouizdad is in better shape with W-W-W-W-D-D. This disparity in form could influence the outcome, making it possible for the predictions to be inaccurate.

Ben Aknoun vs CR Belouizdad: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceBen AknounDrawCR Belouizdad
Model39%27%34%
Market———
Published39%27%34%
Edge———

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Ben Aknoun and CR Belouizdad expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.45Ben Aknoun
1.45CR Belouizdad
Total expected goals
2.90
Attack rating (Ben Aknoun / CR Belouizdad)
1.25 / 1.27
Defence rating (Ben Aknoun / CR Belouizdad)
1.28 / 0.84

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Ben Aknoun vs CR Belouizdad score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.7% 6.9% 5.8% 2.8% 1.4% 1 6.8% 12.7% 8.4% 4.1% 2.0% 2 5.8% 8.4% 6.1% 2.9% 1.5% 3 2.8% 4.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.7% 4+ 1.4% 2.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.4%

Rows: Ben Aknoun goals. Columns: CR Belouizdad goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Ben Aknoun vs CR Belouizdad goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 55%
Over 3.5 33%
Both teams to score
59%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Ben Aknoun vs CR Belouizdad

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Ben Aknoun39%2.58
Draw27%3.67
CR Belouizdad34%2.94
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555%1.83
Under 2.545%2.21
Both teams to scoreYes59%1.69
No41%2.45
Double chance1X (Ben Aknoun or draw)66%1.52
12 (either side)73%1.37
X2 (draw or CR Belouizdad)61%1.63
Handicap -1Ben Aknoun win by 2+18%5.67
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Ben Aknoun and CR Belouizdad recent form

Ben Aknoun 1W 4D 1L
CR Belouizdad 4W 2D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Ben Aknoun at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 2
  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

CR Belouizdad away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
2.33
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Ben Aknoun at home only, CR Belouizdad away only.

Ben Aknoun vs CR Belouizdad head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Ben Aknoun 0 · draws 0 · CR Belouizdad 2.

Ben AknounDrawsCR Belouizdad
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-24CR Belouizdad3-1Ben AknounAlgeria Ligue 1
2026-01-03Ben Aknoun0-2CR BelouizdadAlgeria Ligue 1

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Ben Aknoun to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Ben Aknoun