Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 10Postponed

CS Constantine vs Ben Aknoun

Alin prediction CS Constantine to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
CS ConstantineDrawBen Aknoun
  • WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

CS Constantine vs Ben Aknoun: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceCS ConstantineDrawBen Aknoun
Model43%22%35%
Market———
Published43%22%35%
Edge———
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

CS Constantine and Ben Aknoun expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.94CS Constantine
1.77Ben Aknoun
Total expected goals
3.71
Attack rating (CS Constantine / Ben Aknoun)
1.21 / 1.15
Defence rating (CS Constantine / Ben Aknoun)
1.71 / 1.18

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

CS Constantine vs Ben Aknoun score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.3% 3.5% 3.8% 2.3% 1.5% 1 3.9% 9.2% 7.4% 4.4% 2.9% 2 4.6% 8.1% 7.2% 4.3% 2.8% 3 3.0% 5.3% 4.7% 2.8% 1.8% 4+ 2.2% 4.0% 3.5% 2.1% 1.4%

Rows: CS Constantine goals. Columns: Ben Aknoun goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

CS Constantine vs Ben Aknoun goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 89%
Over 2.5 72%
Over 3.5 51%
Both teams to score
76%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for CS Constantine vs Ben Aknoun

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2CS Constantine43%2.31
Draw22%4.56
Ben Aknoun35%2.88
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577%1.30
Under 2.523%4.29
Both teams to scoreYes76%1.32
No24%4.12
Double chance1X (CS Constantine or draw)65%1.53
12 (either side)78%1.28
X2 (draw or Ben Aknoun)57%1.77
Handicap -1CS Constantine win by 2+23%4.26
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

CS Constantine and Ben Aknoun recent form

CS Constantine 2W 0D 4L
Ben Aknoun 1W 4D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

CS Constantine at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
3.00
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
2 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.

Ben Aknoun away

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
0.75
Goals against / match
0.75
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: CS Constantine at home only, Ben Aknoun away only.

CS Constantine vs Ben Aknoun head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: CS Constantine 0 · draws 1 · Ben Aknoun 1.

CS ConstantineDrawsBen Aknoun
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-13CS Constantine0-0Ben AknounAlgeria Ligue 1
2025-10-18Ben Aknoun1-0CS ConstantineAlgeria Ligue 1

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match