Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 9

JS Saoura vs CS Constantine

Alin prediction JS Saoura to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
JS SaouraDrawCS Constantine
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.93.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

JS Saoura vs CS Constantine preview

In the fixture between JS Saoura and CS Constantine, the 1X2 probabilities show a slight edge for JS Saoura at 51%, while CS Constantine sits at 21%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 12% chance. However, the match could deviate from this forecast if CS Constantine manages to score, as both teams to score has a probability of 49%.

JS Saoura's recent form shows 5 games without a win (L-L-D-D-L-L), while CS Constantine has found some momentum with 2 wins in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-L-W-D). The expected goals are 1.62 for JS Saoura and 1.01 for CS Constantine, indicating a potential struggle for the visitors to find the net. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the predictions.

JS Saoura vs CS Constantine: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceJS SaouraDrawCS Constantine
Model51%28%21%
Market———
Published51%28%21%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.93.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

JS Saoura and CS Constantine expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.74JS Saoura
0.93CS Constantine
Total expected goals
2.67
Attack rating (JS Saoura / CS Constantine)
0.75 / 1.21
Defence rating (JS Saoura / CS Constantine)
0.86 / 1.71

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

JS Saoura vs CS Constantine score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.0% 5.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.3% 1 10.9% 12.3% 5.2% 1.6% 0.5% 2 10.5% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.4% 3 6.1% 5.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 4+ 3.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%

Rows: JS Saoura goals. Columns: CS Constantine goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

JS Saoura vs CS Constantine goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 50%
Over 3.5 28%
Both teams to score
49%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for JS Saoura vs CS Constantine

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2JS Saoura51%1.97
Draw28%3.60
CS Constantine21%4.68
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546%2.18
Under 2.554%1.85
Both teams to scoreYes49%2.02
No51%1.98
Double chance1X (JS Saoura or draw)79%1.27
12 (either side)72%1.38
X2 (draw or CS Constantine)49%2.04
Handicap -1JS Saoura win by 2+32%3.15
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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JS Saoura and CS Constantine recent form

JS Saoura 0W 2D 4L
CS Constantine 2W 0D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

JS Saoura at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
1 of 1
  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 5 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CS Constantine away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
2.75
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.

League matches this season before kick-off: JS Saoura at home only, CS Constantine away only.

JS Saoura vs CS Constantine head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: JS Saoura 1 · draws 0 · CS Constantine 1.

JS SaouraDrawsCS Constantine
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-06-05JS Saoura3-1CS ConstantineAlgeria Ligue 1
2026-01-09CS Constantine1-0JS SaouraAlgeria Ligue 1

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot JS Saoura to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on JS Saoura