Khenchela vs Témouchent preview
In the Algeria Ligue 1 fixture, Khenchela faces Témouchent with a 60% probability for Khenchela to win, compared to Témouchent's 12%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-0, which occurs 19% of the time. Khenchela has an expected goals figure of 1.32, while Témouchent's is significantly lower at 0.54.
Both teams to score stands at 32%, indicating a lower likelihood of both teams finding the net. Recent form shows Khenchela with L-W-L-D-D-W, while Témouchent has D-L-L-W-L-D. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.
Khenchela vs Témouchent: model vs market
| Source | Khenchela | Draw | Témouchent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60% | 28% | 12% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 60% | 28% | 12% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 0.54.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Khenchela and Témouchent expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.86
- Attack rating (Khenchela / Témouchent)
- 0.95 / 0.69
- Defence rating (Khenchela / Témouchent)
- 0.87 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Khenchela vs Témouchent score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Khenchela goals. Columns: Témouchent goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Khenchela vs Témouchent goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 32%
- No goals (0–0)
- 17%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Khenchela vs Témouchent
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Khenchela | 60% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 | |
| Témouchent | 12% | 8.48 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32% | 3.08 |
| Under 2.5 | 68% | 1.48 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32% | 3.09 |
| No | 68% | 1.48 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Khenchela or draw) | 88% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Témouchent) | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | Khenchela win by 2+ | 27% | 3.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Khenchela and Témouchent recent form
Khenchela
2W 2D 2L
Témouchent
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Khenchela at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-0
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Témouchent away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Khenchela at home only, Témouchent away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- USM Alger v MC Oran — match page 2026-10-24
- Olympique Akbou v JS Kabylie — match page 2026-11-07
- ES Setif vs MB Rouisset — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- US Biskra vs ASO Chlef 2026-11-08
- JS El Biar vs MC Alger 2026-11-08
- JS Saoura vs CS Constantine — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Ben Aknoun vs CR Belouizdad — team news & stats 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Khenchela, previous: MC Alger vs Khenchela prediction
- Khenchela, next: JS Saoura – Khenchela, 2026-11-13
- Témouchent, previous: Témouchent – US Biskra, 2026-11-02