Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 8

Témouchent vs US Biskra

Alin prediction Témouchent to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

17% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
TémouchentDrawUS Biskra
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.62.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Témouchent vs US Biskra preview

In the Algeria Ligue 1 fixture on 2026-11-02, Témouchent has a 55% chance of winning against US Biskra, who have only a 15% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an expected goals figure of 1.40 for Témouchent and just 0.62 for US Biskra.

However, the match could deviate from this prediction. With only a 33% probability for Over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance for both teams to score, the low expected goals for US Biskra suggests they may struggle to find the net. Témouchent's recent form shows inconsistency, which could also affect the outcome.

Témouchent vs US Biskra: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceTémouchentDrawUS Biskra
Model55%30%15%
Market———
Published55%30%15%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.62.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Témouchent and US Biskra expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.41Témouchent
0.62US Biskra
Total expected goals
2.03
Attack rating (Témouchent / US Biskra)
0.69 / 0.68
Defence rating (Témouchent / US Biskra)
1.02 / 1.49

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Témouchent vs US Biskra score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 14.3% 7.0% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 1 17.4% 12.6% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 2 13.1% 8.1% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 3 6.1% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 4+ 2.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Témouchent goals. Columns: US Biskra goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Témouchent vs US Biskra goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 86%
Over 1.5 61%
Over 2.5 33%
Over 3.5 15%
Both teams to score
36%
No goals (0–0)
14%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Témouchent vs US Biskra

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Témouchent55%1.81
Draw30%3.37
US Biskra15%6.59
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533%3.03
Under 2.567%1.49
Both teams to scoreYes36%2.78
No64%1.56
Double chance1X (Témouchent or draw)85%1.18
12 (either side)70%1.42
X2 (draw or US Biskra)45%2.23
Handicap -1Témouchent win by 2+28%3.52
Push (exactly one goal)27%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
# Betting site Welcome offer Why it is here Visit
1 Mozzartbet 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.
  • M-PESA Paybill 290059
  • Daily Jackpot
  • Live betting
Get offer
2 Betwinner First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • Live betting around the clock
  • 30+ markets on live events
Get offer
3 22Bet 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.
  • M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits
  • Live in-play betting
  • Android and iOS app
Get offer
4 Melbet 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • 30+ markets on live events
  • 24/7 customer support
Get offer

Témouchent and US Biskra recent form

Témouchent 1W 2D 3L
US Biskra 0W 2D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Témouchent at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
0.75
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

US Biskra away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
3.33
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Témouchent at home only, US Biskra away only.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Témouchent to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Témouchent