ASO Chlef vs ES Setif preview
In the Algeria Ligue 1 fixture between ASO Chlef and ES Setif, the 1X2 probabilities favor ES Setif at 42%, compared to 26% for ASO Chlef and 32% for a draw. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 13% chance. ASO Chlef has struggled recently, with a form of D-D-L-L-L-D, while ES Setif shows slightly better form at D-D-W-L-L-W.
The expected goals are 0.91 for ASO Chlef and 1.22 for ES Setif, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors. However, the match could deviate from this forecast if ASO Chlef improves their attacking output or if both teams manage to score, with a 43% chance for both teams to score and a 36% chance for Over 2.5 goals.
ASO Chlef vs ES Setif: model vs market
| Source | ASO Chlef | Draw | ES Setif |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 32% | 42% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 26% | 32% | 42% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.22 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
ASO Chlef and ES Setif expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.13
- Attack rating (ASO Chlef / ES Setif)
- 0.78 / 1.15
- Defence rating (ASO Chlef / ES Setif)
- 1.19 / 0.86
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
ASO Chlef vs ES Setif score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: ASO Chlef goals. Columns: ES Setif goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
ASO Chlef vs ES Setif goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for ASO Chlef vs ES Setif
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ASO Chlef | 26% | 3.79 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.14 | |
| ES Setif | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.78 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.30 |
| No | 56% | 1.77 | |
| Double chance | 1X (ASO Chlef or draw) | 58% | 1.72 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| X2 (draw or ES Setif) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| Handicap -1 | ES Setif win by 2+ | 19% | 5.27 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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ASO Chlef and ES Setif recent form
ASO Chlef
0W 3D 3L
ES Setif
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
ASO Chlef at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
ES Setif away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 2
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: ASO Chlef at home only, ES Setif away only.
ASO Chlef vs ES Setif head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: ASO Chlef 1 · draws 1 · ES Setif 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | ASO Chlef | 1-0 | ES Setif | Algeria Ligue 1 |
| 2025-10-04 | ES Setif | 1-1 | ASO Chlef | Algeria Ligue 1 |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- JS Kabylie v JS El Biar — match page 2026-10-31
- MB Rouisset v Ben Aknoun — match page 2026-10-31
- MC Alger v Khenchela — match page 2026-10-31
- CS Constantine vs USM Alger 2026-11-02
- Témouchent vs US Biskra 2026-11-02
- CR Belouizdad vs JS Saoura 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- ASO Chlef, previous: ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset: odds and pick
- ASO Chlef, next: US Biskra vs ASO Chlef prediction
- ES Setif, previous: ES Setif vs Témouchent: odds and pick
- ES Setif, next: ES Setif vs MB Rouisset: odds and pick