MC Alger vs Khenchela preview
In the fixture between MC Alger and Khenchela, the 1X2 probabilities show MC Alger at 54%, while Khenchela sits at 16%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 17% chance. MC Alger has a stronger expected goals figure of 1.40 compared to Khenchela's 0.64, indicating a potential edge in offensive performance.
However, the recent form of both teams could influence the outcome. MC Alger has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, while Khenchela has 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. With 33% probability for Over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, unpredictability remains, especially if Khenchela can improve their attacking output.
MC Alger vs Khenchela: model vs market
| Source | MC Alger | Draw | Khenchela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60% | 27% | 13% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 60% | 27% | 13% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 0.59.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
MC Alger and Khenchela expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.16
- Attack rating (MC Alger / Khenchela)
- 1.32 / 0.95
- Defence rating (MC Alger / Khenchela)
- 0.70 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
MC Alger vs Khenchela score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: MC Alger goals. Columns: Khenchela goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
MC Alger vs Khenchela goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 36%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for MC Alger vs Khenchela
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MC Alger | 60% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Khenchela | 13% | 7.85 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36% | 2.74 |
| No | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Double chance | 1X (MC Alger or draw) | 87% | 1.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Khenchela) | 40% | 2.51 | |
| Handicap -1 | MC Alger win by 2+ | 33% | 3.00 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
MC Alger and Khenchela recent form
MC Alger
4W 1D 1L
Khenchela
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
MC Alger at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 2
Khenchela away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: MC Alger at home only, Khenchela away only.
MC Alger vs Khenchela head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: MC Alger 2 · draws 0 · Khenchela 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | MC Alger | 2-1 | Khenchela | Algeria Ligue 1 |
| 2025-10-30 | Khenchela | 0-1 | MC Alger | Algeria Ligue 1 |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- ASO Chlef vs ES Setif — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- JS Kabylie v JS El Biar — match page 2026-10-31
- MB Rouisset v Ben Aknoun — match page 2026-10-31
- CS Constantine vs USM Alger 2026-11-02
- Témouchent vs US Biskra 2026-11-02
- CR Belouizdad vs JS Saoura 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- MC Alger, previous: US Biskra vs MC Alger prediction
- MC Alger, next: JS El Biar v MC Alger analysis
- Khenchela, previous: Khenchela vs JS Kabylie prediction
- Khenchela, next: Khenchela vs Témouchent: odds and pick