CS Constantine vs USM Alger preview
In the Algeria Ligue 1 fixture, CS Constantine faces USM Alger with 41% probability for an away win compared to 33% for CS Constantine. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with expected goals of 1.48 for CS Constantine and 1.68 for USM Alger.
Both teams to score stands at 64%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 61%. CS Constantine's recent form shows 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while USM Alger has 3 wins in the same period. The last 2 head-to-head encounters resulted in 2 draws, indicating a competitive matchup. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, suggesting some uncertainty.
CS Constantine vs USM Alger: model vs market
| Source | CS Constantine | Draw | USM Alger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 33% | 26% | 41% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CS Constantine and USM Alger expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.16
- Attack rating (CS Constantine / USM Alger)
- 1.21 / 1.10
- Defence rating (CS Constantine / USM Alger)
- 1.71 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CS Constantine vs USM Alger score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CS Constantine goals. Columns: USM Alger goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CS Constantine vs USM Alger goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CS Constantine vs USM Alger
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Constantine | 33% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.91 | |
| USM Alger | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.57 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| No | 36% | 2.77 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CS Constantine or draw) | 59% | 1.71 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or USM Alger) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Handicap -1 | USM Alger win by 2+ | 22% | 4.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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CS Constantine and USM Alger recent form
CS Constantine
2W 0D 4L
USM Alger
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CS Constantine at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
USM Alger away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CS Constantine at home only, USM Alger away only.
CS Constantine vs USM Alger head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: CS Constantine 0 · draws 2 · USM Alger 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | USM Alger | 0-0 | CS Constantine | Algeria Ligue 1 |
| 2025-10-04 | CS Constantine | 1-1 | USM Alger | Algeria Ligue 1 |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- ASO Chlef vs ES Setif — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- JS Kabylie v JS El Biar — match page 2026-10-31
- MB Rouisset v Ben Aknoun — match page 2026-10-31
- MC Alger v Khenchela — match page 2026-10-31
- Témouchent vs US Biskra 2026-11-02
- CR Belouizdad vs JS Saoura 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- CS Constantine, previous: Olympique Akbou – CS Constantine, 2026-10-23
- CS Constantine, next: JS Saoura v CS Constantine analysis
- USM Alger, previous: USM Alger vs Panthers prediction