MB Rouisset vs Ben Aknoun preview
In the Algeria Ligue 1 fixture between MB Rouisset and Ben Aknoun, the 1X2 probabilities show MB Rouisset at 55% to win, while Ben Aknoun sits at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 12% chance. The expected goals indicate MB Rouisset at 1.66 and Ben Aknoun at 0.85, suggesting a stronger attacking performance from the home side.
However, the recent form may complicate the outcome. MB Rouisset has a mixed record of W-W-W-L-W-L, while Ben Aknoun has drawn in 4 of their last 6 matches. Both teams to score stands at 48%, and there is a 46% chance of Over 2.5 goals, which could indicate a more dynamic match than the expected scoreline suggests.
MB Rouisset vs Ben Aknoun: model vs market
| Source | MB Rouisset | Draw | Ben Aknoun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56% | 27% | 18% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 56% | 27% | 18% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
MB Rouisset and Ben Aknoun expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.51
- Attack rating (MB Rouisset / Ben Aknoun)
- 0.95 / 1.25
- Defence rating (MB Rouisset / Ben Aknoun)
- 0.76 / 1.28
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
MB Rouisset vs Ben Aknoun score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: MB Rouisset goals. Columns: Ben Aknoun goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
MB Rouisset vs Ben Aknoun goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for MB Rouisset vs Ben Aknoun
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MB Rouisset | 56% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.76 | |
| Ben Aknoun | 18% | 5.60 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.18 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.11 |
| No | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Double chance | 1X (MB Rouisset or draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Ben Aknoun) | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Handicap -1 | MB Rouisset win by 2+ | 31% | 3.21 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
MB Rouisset and Ben Aknoun recent form
MB Rouisset
4W 0D 2L
Ben Aknoun
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
MB Rouisset at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ben Aknoun away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: MB Rouisset at home only, Ben Aknoun away only.
MB Rouisset vs Ben Aknoun head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: MB Rouisset 0 · draws 1 · Ben Aknoun 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Ben Aknoun | 3-2 | MB Rouisset | Algeria Ligue 1 |
| 2025-10-25 | MB Rouisset | 0-0 | Ben Aknoun | Algeria Ligue 1 |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- ASO Chlef vs ES Setif — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- JS Kabylie v JS El Biar — match page 2026-10-31
- MC Alger v Khenchela — match page 2026-10-31
- CS Constantine vs USM Alger 2026-11-02
- Témouchent vs US Biskra 2026-11-02
- CR Belouizdad vs JS Saoura 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- MB Rouisset, previous: ASO Chlef vs MB Rouisset: odds and pick
- MB Rouisset, next: ES Setif vs MB Rouisset: odds and pick
- Ben Aknoun, previous: JS Saoura v Ben Aknoun analysis
- Ben Aknoun, next: Ben Aknoun – CR Belouizdad, 2026-11-08