Updated

Algeria Ligue 1 · Matchday 8

MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou

Alin prediction MC Oran to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

19% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
MC OranDrawOlympique Akbou
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.08 vs 0.60.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou preview

In the fixture between MC Oran and Olympique Akbou, the 1X2 probabilities show MC Oran at 55% and Olympique Akbou at 14%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 19% chance according to our model. MC Oran has shown strong recent form, going W-W-D-W-W-D, while Olympique Akbou has mixed results with W-D-L-L-W-D.

While MC Oran is favored, the match could deviate from expectations if Olympique Akbou's recent form improves. The chances for Over 2.5 goals sit at 30%, and both teams to score is at 33%. The expected goals are 1.36 for MC Oran and 0.56 for Olympique Akbou, indicating a potential low-scoring affair.

MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceMC OranDrawOlympique Akbou
Model46%35%19%
Market———
Published46%35%19%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.08 vs 0.60.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

MC Oran and Olympique Akbou expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.08MC Oran
0.60Olympique Akbou
Total expected goals
1.68
Attack rating (MC Oran / Olympique Akbou)
0.90 / 1.04
Defence rating (MC Oran / Olympique Akbou)
0.64 / 0.88

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 19.9% 10.0% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 1 19.0% 13.3% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 2 10.9% 6.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 3 3.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 4+ 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: MC Oran goals. Columns: Olympique Akbou goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 80%
Over 1.5 51%
Over 2.5 24%
Over 3.5 9%
Both teams to score
31%
No goals (0–0)
20%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2MC Oran46%2.18
Draw35%2.84
Olympique Akbou19%5.27
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.524%4.23
Under 2.576%1.31
Both teams to scoreYes31%3.24
No69%1.45
Double chance1X (MC Oran or draw)81%1.23
12 (either side)65%1.54
X2 (draw or Olympique Akbou)54%1.84
Handicap -1MC Oran win by 2+20%5.12
Push (exactly one goal)26%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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MC Oran and Olympique Akbou recent form

MC Oran 4W 2D 0L
Olympique Akbou 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

MC Oran at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
3 of 3
  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Olympique Akbou away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
0.67
Goals against / match
0.67
Clean sheets
2 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: MC Oran at home only, Olympique Akbou away only.

MC Oran vs Olympique Akbou head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: MC Oran 0 · draws 0 · Olympique Akbou 2.

MC OranDrawsOlympique Akbou
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-03MC Oran0-1Olympique AkbouAlgeria Ligue 1
2025-08-29Olympique Akbou1-0MC OranAlgeria Ligue 1

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot MC Oran to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on MC Oran