CR Belouizdad vs JS Saoura preview
In the Algeria Ligue 1 fixture, CR Belouizdad has a 59% chance of winning against JS Saoura, who has a 13% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an 18% probability. CR Belouizdad is in strong recent form with 4 wins and 2 draws, while JS Saoura has lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
The model suggests a 34% chance for both teams to score and for Over 2.5 goals. However, if JS Saoura can improve their performance, it could lead to a different outcome. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
CR Belouizdad vs JS Saoura: model vs market
| Source | CR Belouizdad | Draw | JS Saoura |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 28% | 13% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 59% | 28% | 13% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.56.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CR Belouizdad and JS Saoura expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.06
- Attack rating (CR Belouizdad / JS Saoura)
- 1.27 / 0.75
- Defence rating (CR Belouizdad / JS Saoura)
- 0.84 / 0.86
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CR Belouizdad vs JS Saoura score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CR Belouizdad goals. Columns: JS Saoura goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CR Belouizdad vs JS Saoura goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 34%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CR Belouizdad vs JS Saoura
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CR Belouizdad | 59% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 | |
| JS Saoura | 13% | 7.94 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34% | 2.95 |
| Under 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34% | 2.91 |
| No | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CR Belouizdad or draw) | 87% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or JS Saoura) | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | CR Belouizdad win by 2+ | 32% | 3.12 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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CR Belouizdad and JS Saoura recent form
CR Belouizdad
4W 2D 0L
JS Saoura
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CR Belouizdad at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 2
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
JS Saoura away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 5 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CR Belouizdad at home only, JS Saoura away only.
CR Belouizdad vs JS Saoura head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: CR Belouizdad 0 · draws 1 · JS Saoura 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | JS Saoura | 0-0 | CR Belouizdad | Algeria Ligue 1 |
| 2025-09-13 | CR Belouizdad | 1-2 | JS Saoura | Algeria Ligue 1 |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
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Before and after this match
- CR Belouizdad, previous: CR Belouizdad vs AC Douane: odds and pick
- CR Belouizdad, next: Ben Aknoun – CR Belouizdad, 2026-11-08
- JS Saoura, previous: JS Saoura v Ben Aknoun analysis
- JS Saoura, next: JS Saoura v CS Constantine analysis