Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg preview
In the upcoming match between Rapid Vienna and TSV Hartberg, the 1X2 probabilities show Rapid Vienna at 73%, while TSV Hartberg sits at 11%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 3-1, with an 87% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 75% chance for both teams to score.
Rapid Vienna's expected goals stand at 3.51, compared to TSV Hartberg's 1.46. Recent form shows Rapid Vienna with three wins in their last five matches, while TSV Hartberg has two wins in their last five. The head-to-head record indicates a balanced contest, with each team winning once and two matches ending in draws. A surprise could occur if TSV Hartberg improves their scoring efficiency or if Rapid Vienna's form dips.
Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg: model vs market
| Source | Rapid Vienna | Draw | TSV Hartberg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| Market | 72% | 17% | 10% |
| Published | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| Edge | +3% | -4% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.51 vs 1.46.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Rapid Vienna below the model: +2.8 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.30, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Rapid Vienna and TSV Hartberg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.97
- Attack rating (Rapid Vienna / TSV Hartberg)
- 1.92 / 1.34
- Defence rating (Rapid Vienna / TSV Hartberg)
- 0.87 / 1.21
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Rapid Vienna goals. Columns: TSV Hartberg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 75%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rapid Vienna | 73% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.14 | |
| TSV Hartberg | 11% | 9.48 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 87% | 1.15 |
| Under 2.5 | 13% | 7.83 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75% | 1.34 |
| No | 25% | 3.97 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Rapid Vienna or draw) | 89% | 1.12 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| X2 (draw or TSV Hartberg) | 27% | 3.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rapid Vienna win by 2+ | 59% | 1.71 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Rapid Vienna and TSV Hartberg recent form
Rapid Vienna
4W 1D 1L
TSV Hartberg
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Rapid Vienna at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
TSV Hartberg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Rapid Vienna at home only, TSV Hartberg away only.
Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Rapid Vienna 1 · draws 2 · TSV Hartberg 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Rapid Vienna | 0-2 | TSV Hartberg | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-04-19 | TSV Hartberg | 2-2 | Rapid Vienna | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-02-07 | Rapid Vienna | 1-1 | TSV Hartberg | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-08-31 | TSV Hartberg | 0-1 | Rapid Vienna | Austria Bundesliga |
Before and after this match
- Rapid Vienna, previous: Lask Linz v Rapid Vienna analysis
- TSV Hartberg, previous: TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau: odds and pick