TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau

TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau: model vs market

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded 2026-10-06 — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.

TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau odds movement

Median bookmaker price on TSV Hartberg, 38 snapshots since 2026-09-18.

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

TSV Hartberg and Austria Lustenau expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

Total expected goals

3.92

Attack rating (TSV Hartberg / Austria Lustenau)

1.34 / 1.25

Defence rating (TSV Hartberg / Austria Lustenau)

1.21 / 1.00

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

Rows: TSV Hartberg goals. Columns: Austria Lustenau goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Both teams to score

74%

No goals (0–0)

3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

TSV Hartberg and Austria Lustenau recent form

TSV Hartberg DDWWWL 3W 2D 1L

Austria Lustenau WLWLDW 3W 1D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

League matches this season before kick-off: TSV Hartberg at home only, Austria Lustenau away only.