WSG Wattens vs Ried: model vs market
| Source | WSG Wattens | Draw | Ried |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 24% | 37% |
| Market | 36% | 26% | 39% |
| Published | 36% | 25% | 38% |
| Edge | +3% | -2% | -1% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.52, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
WSG Wattens vs Ried odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Ried, 38 snapshots since 2026-09-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| WSG Wattens | 2.60 | 2.60 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.58 | +0.18 |
| Ried | 2.50 | 2.40 | -0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
WSG Wattens and Ried expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.63
- Attack rating (WSG Wattens / Ried)
- 1.14 / 1.38
- Defence rating (WSG Wattens / Ried)
- 1.03 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
WSG Wattens vs Ried score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: WSG Wattens goals. Columns: Ried goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
WSG Wattens vs Ried goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for WSG Wattens vs Ried
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | WSG Wattens | 36% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 | |
| Ried | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.41 |
| No | 29% | 3.44 | |
| Double chance | 1X (WSG Wattens or draw) | 62% | 1.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Ried) | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ried win by 2+ | 20% | 5.02 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
WSG Wattens and Ried recent form
WSG Wattens
3W 1D 2L
Ried
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
WSG Wattens at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Ried away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: WSG Wattens at home only, Ried away only.
WSG Wattens vs Ried head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: WSG Wattens 1 · draws 1 · Ried 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | WSG Wattens | 1-0 | Ried | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-03-14 | Ried | 2-1 | WSG Wattens | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-02-22 | WSG Wattens | 1-1 | Ried | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-10-04 | Ried | 2-0 | WSG Wattens | Austria Bundesliga |
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