SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC: model vs market
| Source | SCR Altach | Draw | Wolfsberger AC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 24% | 27% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 27% |
| Published | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.39.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices SCR Altach below the model: +2.2 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SCR Altach, 38 snapshots since 2026-09-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCR Altach | 2.14 | 1.96 | -0.18 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.65 | +0.15 |
| Wolfsberger AC | 3.10 | 3.41 | +0.31 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.33
- Attack rating (SCR Altach / Wolfsberger AC)
- 1.04 / 0.99
- Defence rating (SCR Altach / Wolfsberger AC)
- 1.12 / 1.23
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SCR Altach goals. Columns: Wolfsberger AC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SCR Altach | 48% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.99 | |
| Wolfsberger AC | 27% | 3.70 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.83 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.53 |
| No | 35% | 2.88 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SCR Altach or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Wolfsberger AC) | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Handicap -1 | SCR Altach win by 2+ | 29% | 3.46 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SCR Altach and Wolfsberger AC recent form
SCR Altach
1W 0D 5L
Wolfsberger AC
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SCR Altach at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Wolfsberger AC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: SCR Altach at home only, Wolfsberger AC away only.
SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: SCR Altach 2 · draws 1 · Wolfsberger AC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | SCR Altach | 1-4 | Wolfsberger AC | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-03-21 | Wolfsberger AC | 1-1 | SCR Altach | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-11-22 | SCR Altach | 3-1 | Wolfsberger AC | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-08-02 | Wolfsberger AC | 0-2 | SCR Altach | Austria Bundesliga |
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