Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna: model vs market
| Source | Lask Linz | Draw | Rapid Vienna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 20% | 37% |
| Market | 52% | 23% | 25% |
| Published | 49% | 23% | 28% |
| Edge | -9% | -3% | +12% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.83, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Lask Linz, 38 snapshots since 2026-09-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lask Linz | 1.80 | 1.80 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.80 | 4.00 | +0.20 |
| Rapid Vienna | 3.80 | 3.70 | -0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Lask Linz and Rapid Vienna expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.57
- Attack rating (Lask Linz / Rapid Vienna)
- 1.78 / 1.92
- Defence rating (Lask Linz / Rapid Vienna)
- 0.92 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Lask Linz goals. Columns: Rapid Vienna goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 81%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lask Linz | 49% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.44 | |
| Rapid Vienna | 28% | 3.55 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83% | 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 17% | 6.03 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 81% | 1.23 |
| No | 19% | 5.31 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Lask Linz or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Rapid Vienna) | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Handicap -1 | Lask Linz win by 2+ | 25% | 3.95 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Lask Linz and Rapid Vienna recent form
Lask Linz
3W 1D 2L
Rapid Vienna
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lask Linz at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rapid Vienna away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Lask Linz at home only, Rapid Vienna away only.
Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Lask Linz 3 · draws 0 · Rapid Vienna 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Lask Linz | 3-1 | Rapid Vienna | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-03-22 | Rapid Vienna | 4-2 | Lask Linz | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-11-30 | Lask Linz | 3-0 | Rapid Vienna | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-10-19 | Rapid Vienna | 0-2 | Lask Linz | Austria Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- WSG Wattens vs Ried — team news & stats 2026-10-10
- Grazer AK vs Red Bull Salzburg 2026-10-10
- Austria Vienna v Sturm Graz — match page 2026-10-10
- SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC — team news & stats 2026-10-11
- TSV Hartberg v Austria Lustenau — match page 2026-10-11