Updated

Challenger Pro League · Matchday 8

RSC Anderlecht II vs K. Lierse S.K.

· Lotto Park, Brussels

Alin prediction K. Lierse S.K. to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
RSC Anderlecht IIDrawK. Lierse S.K.
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.39.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Best market odds
RSC Anderlecht II2.75 Draw3.70 K. Lierse S.K.2.49

Price as of

Expected return at 2.49: +2.4% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 10 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

RSC Anderlecht II vs K. Lierse S.K. preview

In the Challenger Pro League match between RSC Anderlecht II and K. Lierse S.K., the 1X2 probabilities show K. Lierse S.K. at 42%, RSC Anderlecht II at 33%, and a draw at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with K. Lierse S.K.'s expected goals of 1.92 compared to RSC Anderlecht II's 1.39.

Both teams to score stands at 65%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 64%. RSC Anderlecht II's recent form is poor, with 6 matches yielding 1 draw and 5 losses. In contrast, K. Lierse S.K. has shown better form with 3 wins in their last 6 matches. However, the unpredictable nature of football means that any number of factors could impact the outcome.

RSC Anderlecht II vs K. Lierse S.K.: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRSC Anderlecht IIDrawK. Lierse S.K.
Model27%24%49%
Market36%26%39%
Published33%25%41%
Edge-2%0%+3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.39.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices K. Lierse S.K. below our published probability: +2.6 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.49, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +2.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

RSC Anderlecht II vs K. Lierse S.K. odds movement

Median bookmaker price on K. Lierse S.K., 6 snapshots since 2026-10-20.

Opened 3.12Now 2.35 -0.77
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
RSC Anderlecht II2.092.54+0.46
Draw3.723.50-0.23
K. Lierse S.K.3.122.35-0.77

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

RSC Anderlecht II and K. Lierse S.K. expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.39RSC Anderlecht II
1.92K. Lierse S.K.
Total expected goals
3.30
Attack rating (RSC Anderlecht II / K. Lierse S.K.)
0.95 / 0.94
Defence rating (RSC Anderlecht II / K. Lierse S.K.)
1.49 / 0.97

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

RSC Anderlecht II vs K. Lierse S.K. score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.7% 6.1% 6.8% 4.3% 3.2% 1 4.1% 10.8% 9.4% 6.0% 4.4% 2 3.5% 6.8% 6.5% 4.1% 3.1% 3 1.6% 3.1% 3.0% 1.9% 1.4% 4+ 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.7%

Rows: RSC Anderlecht II goals. Columns: K. Lierse S.K. goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

RSC Anderlecht II vs K. Lierse S.K. goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 64%
Over 3.5 42%
Both teams to score
65%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for RSC Anderlecht II vs K. Lierse S.K.

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2RSC Anderlecht II33%2.99
Draw25%3.93
K. Lierse S.K.41%2.43
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564%1.56
Under 2.536%2.78
Both teams to scoreYes65%1.54
No35%2.85
Double chance1X (RSC Anderlecht II or draw)59%1.70
12 (either side)75%1.34
X2 (draw or K. Lierse S.K.)67%1.50
Handicap -1K. Lierse S.K. win by 2+28%3.53
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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RSC Anderlecht II and K. Lierse S.K. recent form

RSC Anderlecht II 0W 1D 5L
K. Lierse S.K. 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

RSC Anderlecht II at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
2.50
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

K. Lierse S.K. away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.67
Goals against / match
2.33
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: RSC Anderlecht II at home only, K. Lierse S.K. away only.

RSC Anderlecht II vs K. Lierse S.K. head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: RSC Anderlecht II 2 · draws 5 · K. Lierse S.K. 3.

RSC Anderlecht IIDrawsK. Lierse S.K.
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-01-28RSC Anderlecht II2-2K. Lierse S.K.Challenger Pro League
2025-11-29K. Lierse S.K.1-0RSC Anderlecht IIChallenger Pro League
2025-03-08K. Lierse S.K.3-1RSC Anderlecht IIChallenger Pro League
2024-11-30RSC Anderlecht II2-0K. Lierse S.K.Challenger Pro League
2024-04-13K. Lierse S.K.1-1RSC Anderlecht IIChallenger Pro League
2023-09-30RSC Anderlecht II3-3K. Lierse S.K.Challenger Pro League
2023-04-15RSC Anderlecht II2-2K. Lierse S.K.Challenger Pro League
2023-03-11K. Lierse S.K.2-0RSC Anderlecht IIChallenger Pro League
2023-01-22RSC Anderlecht II3-3K. Lierse S.K.Challenger Pro League
2022-09-16K. Lierse S.K.2-3RSC Anderlecht IIChallenger Pro League

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot K. Lierse S.K. to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on K. Lierse S.K.
Our pick: K. Lierse S.K. to win 18+ Bet Now