K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen preview
In the upcoming match between K. Lierse S.K. and AS Eupen, the 1X2 probabilities show AS Eupen at 48% and K. Lierse S.K. at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with expected goals of 1.17 for K. Lierse S.K. and 1.37 for AS Eupen.
K. Lierse S.K. has struggled recently, with a form of L-L-W-L-L-D, while AS Eupen has improved, winning their last two matches. The model suggests a 53% chance for both teams to score and a 46% chance for Over 2.5 goals. However, K. Lierse S.K.'s historical head-to-head advantage, winning 2 out of 2 matches against AS Eupen, could influence the outcome.
K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen: model vs market
| Source | K. Lierse S.K. | Draw | AS Eupen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| Market | 23% | 25% | 52% |
| Published | 25% | 26% | 49% |
| Edge | +2% | +1% | -3% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.81, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen odds movement
Median bookmaker price on AS Eupen, 5 snapshots since 2026-11-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lierse S.K. | 3.66 | 3.91 | +0.25 |
| Draw | 3.58 | 3.66 | +0.08 |
| AS Eupen | 1.83 | 1.75 | -0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
K. Lierse S.K. and AS Eupen expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.53
- Attack rating (K. Lierse S.K. / AS Eupen)
- 0.75 / 1.03
- Defence rating (K. Lierse S.K. / AS Eupen)
- 0.98 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: K. Lierse S.K. goals. Columns: AS Eupen goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | K. Lierse S.K. | 25% | 3.98 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 | |
| AS Eupen | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| No | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Double chance | 1X (K. Lierse S.K. or draw) | 51% | 1.96 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or AS Eupen) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| Handicap -1 | AS Eupen win by 2+ | 19% | 5.20 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
K. Lierse S.K. and AS Eupen recent form
K. Lierse S.K.
1W 1D 4L
AS Eupen
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
K. Lierse S.K. at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AS Eupen away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: K. Lierse S.K. at home only, AS Eupen away only.
K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: K. Lierse S.K. 2 · draws 0 · AS Eupen 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | AS Eupen | 0-1 | K. Lierse S.K. | Challenger Pro League |
| 2025-08-23 | K. Lierse S.K. | 3-2 | AS Eupen | Challenger Pro League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Sporting Hasselt vs Patro Eisden — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- KRC Genk II vs KAA Gent II — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Francs Borains v Seraing United — match page 2026-11-07
- RSC Anderlecht II vs Club Brugge II 2026-11-07
- Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA 2026-11-07
- Lokeren-Temse v Dender — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- K. Lierse S.K., previous: RSC Anderlecht II v K. Lierse S.K. analysis
- AS Eupen, previous: AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton prediction