Francs Borains vs Seraing United preview
In the Challenger Pro League fixture, Francs Borains have a 39% chance of winning against Seraing United, who sit at 34%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability. The expectation is for 56% of matches to see Over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
Francs Borains are in decent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Seraing United's recent results show 3 wins in their last 6. However, Seraing United has won their last head-to-head encounter, which could influence the outcome. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Francs Borains vs Seraing United: model vs market
| Source | Francs Borains | Draw | Seraing United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 28% | 35% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| Published | 43% | 26% | 30% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +2% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Francs Borains vs Seraing United odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Francs Borains, 11 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Francs Borains | 1.80 | 2.00 | +0.20 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.50 | -0.15 |
| Seraing United | 3.96 | 3.20 | -0.76 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Francs Borains and Seraing United expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.78
- Attack rating (Francs Borains / Seraing United)
- 0.82 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Francs Borains / Seraing United)
- 0.95 / 1.12
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Francs Borains vs Seraing United score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Francs Borains goals. Columns: Seraing United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Francs Borains vs Seraing United goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Francs Borains vs Seraing United
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Francs Borains | 43% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 | |
| Seraing United | 30% | 3.31 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.11 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.74 |
| No | 42% | 2.35 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Francs Borains or draw) | 70% | 1.43 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Seraing United) | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Handicap -1 | Francs Borains win by 2+ | 18% | 5.67 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Francs Borains and Seraing United recent form
Francs Borains
3W 0D 3L
Seraing United
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Francs Borains at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Seraing United away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Francs Borains at home only, Seraing United away only.
Francs Borains vs Seraing United head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Francs Borains 2 · draws 2 · Seraing United 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Francs Borains | 4-2 | Seraing United | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2026-03-08 | Seraing United | 4-0 | Francs Borains | Challenger Pro League |
| 2025-09-23 | Francs Borains | 0-0 | Seraing United | Challenger Pro League |
| 2025-01-25 | Seraing United | 1-1 | Francs Borains | Challenger Pro League |
| 2024-11-03 | Francs Borains | 0-1 | Seraing United | Challenger Pro League |
| 2024-01-14 | Seraing United | 1-5 | Francs Borains | Challenger Pro League |
| 2023-09-30 | Francs Borains | 0-2 | Seraing United | Challenger Pro League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
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- KRC Genk II vs KAA Gent II — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- RSC Anderlecht II vs Club Brugge II 2026-11-07
- Excelsior Virton vs Beerschot VA 2026-11-07
- K. Lierse S.K. vs AS Eupen 2026-11-08
- Lokeren-Temse v Dender — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Francs Borains, previous: Francs Borains – Dender, 2026-11-04
- Seraing United, previous: Seraing United vs Liège: odds and pick