Seraing United vs Liège preview
Seraing United faces Liège with a 52% chance of winning, while Liège has a 28% chance. The most likely scoreline from our model is 2-1, which occurs 7% of the time. There is a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 81% and both teams to score at 78%.
Seraing United's recent form shows 2 losses and 1 win in their last 5 matches, while Liège has 2 losses and 1 win in their last 5. In their last 2 head-to-head encounters, Seraing United has not won, with 1 draw and 1 win for Liège. A surprising result could occur if either team improves their form or if scoring chances are not converted.
Seraing United vs Liège: model vs market
| Source | Seraing United | Draw | Liège |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 19% | 25% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 55% | 19% | 25% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.69 vs 1.85.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Seraing United and Liège expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.54
- Attack rating (Seraing United / Liège)
- 1.12 / 1.09
- Defence rating (Seraing United / Liège)
- 1.25 / 1.59
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Seraing United vs Liège score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Seraing United goals. Columns: Liège goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Seraing United vs Liège goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 79%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Seraing United vs Liège
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Seraing United | 55% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.24 | |
| Liège | 25% | 3.93 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83% | 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 17% | 5.91 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79% | 1.26 |
| No | 21% | 4.78 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Seraing United or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or Liège) | 45% | 2.25 | |
| Handicap -1 | Seraing United win by 2+ | 37% | 2.71 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Seraing United and Liège recent form
Seraing United
2W 1D 3L
Liège
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Seraing United at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Liège away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Seraing United at home only, Liège away only.
Seraing United vs Liège head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Seraing United 0 · draws 1 · Liège 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Seraing United | 2-2 | Liège | Challenger Pro League |
| 2025-08-17 | Liège | 2-0 | Seraing United | Challenger Pro League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- KAA Gent II vs K. Lierse S.K. — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Beerschot VA vs Francs Borains — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Patro Eisden vs Lokeren-Temse — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Club Brugge II v Sporting Hasselt — match page 2026-10-31
- Dender v KRC Genk II — match page 2026-11-01
- AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Seraing United, previous: Seraing United vs Excelsior Virton: odds and pick
- Liège, previous: Liège v Patro Eisden analysis