Updated

Challenger Pro League · Matchday 9

Club Brugge II vs Sporting Hasselt

Alin prediction Sporting Hasselt to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Club Brugge IIDrawSporting Hasselt
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.48.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Club Brugge II vs Sporting Hasselt preview

In the fixture between Club Brugge II and Sporting Hasselt, the 1X2 probabilities show Sporting Hasselt at 50%, compared to Club Brugge II at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.48 for Club Brugge II and 2.04 for Sporting Hasselt.

Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 68%, indicating a strong likelihood of an attacking match. However, if Club Brugge II improves their recent form, currently at D-L-D-D-L-W, it could lead to a different outcome than predicted.

Club Brugge II vs Sporting Hasselt: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceClub Brugge IIDrawSporting Hasselt
Model27%23%50%
Market———
Published27%23%50%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.48.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Club Brugge II and Sporting Hasselt expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.48Club Brugge II
2.04Sporting Hasselt
Total expected goals
3.52
Attack rating (Club Brugge II / Sporting Hasselt)
0.91 / 1.26
Defence rating (Club Brugge II / Sporting Hasselt)
1.19 / 1.07

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Club Brugge II vs Sporting Hasselt score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.9% 5.2% 6.2% 4.2% 3.5% 1 3.5% 9.8% 9.1% 6.2% 5.1% 2 3.2% 6.6% 6.7% 4.6% 3.8% 3 1.6% 3.2% 3.3% 2.3% 1.8% 4+ 0.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.2% 0.9%

Rows: Club Brugge II goals. Columns: Sporting Hasselt goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Club Brugge II vs Sporting Hasselt goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 88%
Over 2.5 68%
Over 3.5 47%
Both teams to score
68%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Club Brugge II vs Sporting Hasselt

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Club Brugge II27%3.72
Draw23%4.32
Sporting Hasselt50%2.00
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568%1.46
Under 2.532%3.15
Both teams to scoreYes68%1.47
No32%3.13
Double chance1X (Club Brugge II or draw)50%2.00
12 (either side)77%1.30
X2 (draw or Sporting Hasselt)73%1.37
Handicap -1Sporting Hasselt win by 2+30%3.37
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Club Brugge II and Sporting Hasselt recent form

Club Brugge II 1W 3D 2L
Sporting Hasselt 3W 0D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Club Brugge II at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.67
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

Sporting Hasselt away

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
1.75
Goals against / match
1.75
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Club Brugge II at home only, Sporting Hasselt away only.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Sporting Hasselt to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Sporting Hasselt